globalchange  > 科学计划与规划
项目编号: NE/P004725/1
项目名称:
Coping with El Nino in Tanzania: Differentiated local impacts and household-level responses
作者: Aidan Keane
承担单位: University of Edinburgh
批准年: 2015
开始日期: 2016-30-04
结束日期: 2018-28-02
资助金额: GBP258484
资助来源: UK-NERC
项目类别: Research Grant
国家: UK
语种: 英语
特色学科分类: Climate & Climate Change&nbsp ; (30%) ; Development studies&nbsp ; (30%) ; Ecol, biodivers. & systematics&nbsp ; (20%) ; RCUK Programmes ; Social Anthropology&nbsp ; (20%)
英文摘要: El Niño is a climatic phenomenon linked to warming of the ocean surface in the eastern Pacific that causes unusual weather patterns across many parts of the tropics and further afield. In Tanzania, El Niño events typically lead to heavier rain and flooding in northern parts of the country while southern parts experience less rainfall than normal. These environmental changes can have severe consequences for the livelihoods of local people, leading to crop failure and outbreaks of disease affecting humans and livestock and causing significant hardship and loss of life. "Natural" disasters such as these arise when society fails to respond adequately to changes in the environment, but the role human behaviour plays in shaping the outcomes of environmental change is complex and poorly understood.

The impacts of El Niño are most serious in poor rural parts of the world, where households decisions about how to respond are vital if they are to minimise the harm they suffer. These decisions commonly involve changes to their livelihood activities, selling property or increasing their use of natural resources and are often referred to as coping strategies. The set of possible coping strategies a household can use depends upon the resources they can call upon, and these can in turn be affected by their environment and the existence of relevant institutions. Together these three factors - household level differences and institutional and environmental context - are important determinants of local scale impacts of environmental shocks.

In this project, we examine how Wildlife Management Areas - a specific form of community-based natural resource management institution - affect the ability of local communities to respond to El Niño. In theory WMAs could lessen El Niño's impacts if they improve the condition or availability of natural resources at key times, or lessen conflict. However, they could also have a negative effect if they impose restrictions on natural resource uat reduce the set of coping strategies a household can call on.

We will investigate this interaction using survey data collected from more than 1,200 households across Tanzania, comparing El Niño's impacts in the differing environments of the north and the south and in areas with and without WMAs. In addition, we will examine whether impacts vary between different types of individuals or households within a community (e.g. men and women, richer and poorer households, households relying more or less on natural resources). Our results will provide valuable new insights into the reasons why some households and communities are more seriously affected by environmental change and help communities to become more resilient in the future.
资源类型: 项目
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/100391
Appears in Collections:科学计划与规划
气候变化与战略

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作者单位: University of Edinburgh

Recommended Citation:
Aidan Keane. Coping with El Nino in Tanzania: Differentiated local impacts and household-level responses. 2015-01-01.
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