| 项目编号: | NE/L009285/2
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| 项目名称: | Integrated Analysis of Freshwater Resources Sustainability in Jordan |
| 作者: | Julien J. Harou
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| 承担单位: | University of Manchester
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| 批准年: | 2013
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| 开始日期: | 2014-31-01
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| 结束日期: | 2017-30-04
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| 资助金额: | GBP185197
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| 资助来源: | UK-NERC
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| 项目类别: | Research Grant
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| 国家: | UK
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 特色学科分类: | Civil eng. & built environment 
; (50%)
; Development studies 
; (40%)
; Management & Business Studies 
; (10%)
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| 英文摘要: | This proposed effort will focus on development of an integrated framework to evaluate water policy
interventions in water-stressed countries using Jordan as a model system. Jordan is representative of
many arid regions where future natural and social changes set the stage for nationwide water supply
failures. Existing water resources models ignore critical interactions between hydrologic and
socioeconomic components, resulting in a lack of holistic analysis needed to make long-term policy
decisions. Our interdisciplinary team will develop a quantitative policy-evaluation tool to explore ways to
enhance the sustainability of freshwater systems through such innovations as optimized allocation
procedures, institutional re-structuring, subsidies/tariffs, water-lease markets, and transboundary
institutions. We will construct a modular, agent-based hydroeconomic model in which each module
captures scientific and local knowledge from a unique discipline synthesizing hydrologic, agronomic, and
socioeconomic analysis into a coherent analytical framework. The modules will be linked through
feedbacks among system components. The policy-evaluation model will combine simulation of natural
phenomena (groundwater-surface water flow, crop yield, and soil / water salinity) with human
decision-making at the institutional and user levels (water usage, regulation, allocation, transboundary
water, and trade). We will evaluate a wide range of policy interventions based on a set of quantitative
economic and environmental metrics. In addition to developing a new tool for water policy analysis, the
project aims to identify innovative policy solutions for a water system that has exhausted traditional
supply sources and is operating at the vulnerable edge. Our analysis of risks and benefits associated
with policy solutions will be assessed, and management options communicated to stakeholders who will
be actively solicited for input. The project will further set the groundwork for deploying the integrated
framework to other water-stressed regions throughout the globe. |
| 资源类型: | 项目
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/101683
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| Appears in Collections: | 科学计划与规划
气候变化与战略
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作者单位: | University of Manchester
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Julien J. Harou. Integrated Analysis of Freshwater Resources Sustainability in Jordan. 2013-01-01.
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