DOI: 10.1002/2016GL067924
论文题名: Variability and future decreases in winter wave heights in the Western North Pacific
作者: Shimura T. ; Mori N. ; Hemer M.A.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-9218
EISSN: 1944-8949
出版年: 2016
卷: 43, 期: 6 起始页码: 2716
结束页码: 2722
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate projection
; ocean surface waves
; wave climate
Scopus关键词: Ocean currents
; Surface waves
; Uncertainty analysis
; Water waves
; Climate projection
; Environmental systems
; Global climate model
; Multi-model ensemble
; Ocean surface waves
; Spectral wave models
; Wave climates
; Western North Pacific
; Climate models
; climate modeling
; ensemble forecasting
; experimental study
; global climate
; ocean wave
; surface wave
; uncertainty analysis
; winter
; Pacific Ocean
; Pacific Ocean (North)
英文摘要: Ocean surface wave climate is a key consideration for a number of industrial and environmental systems, both offshore and at the coast. A dynamical spectral wave model forced with global climate models (GCMs) was used to produce an ensemble of simulations of both historical and projected future wave climate. To estimate the uncertainty of the projected wave climate, we combined a multimember ensemble experiment using MRI-AGCM3.2H with a multimodel ensemble using eight CMIP5 GCMs. Future changes in wintertime wave heights from the end of the 20th to the 21st century were analyzed. Projected decreases in wave heights over the Western North Pacific are highly consistent among the ensemble. The future decreases in wave heights are significantly related to changes in the West Pacific pattern. Both locally generated waves and remotely generated swells are important to estimate future changes in the wave climate on a regional scale. ©2016. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84977969753&doi=10.1002%2f2016GL067924&partnerID=40&md5=9cf87a0e4dc93d50807bdeea26c56837
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/10181
Appears in Collections: 科学计划与规划 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
Recommended Citation:
Shimura T.,Mori N.,Hemer M.A.. Variability and future decreases in winter wave heights in the Western North Pacific[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2016-01-01,43(6).