DOI: | 10.1002/2015GL066222
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论文题名: | Midlatitude daily summer temperatures reshaped by soil moisture under climate change |
作者: | Douville H.; Colin J.; Krug E.; Cattiaux J.; Thao S.
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刊名: | Geophysical Research Letters
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ISSN: | 0094-9434
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EISSN: | 1944-9165
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出版年: | 2016
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卷: | 43, 期:2 | 起始页码: | 812
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结束页码: | 818
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语种: | 英语
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英文关键词: | climate change
; heat waves
; soil moisture feedback
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Scopus关键词: | Atmospheric temperature
; Climatology
; Feedback
; Moisture
; Soil moisture
; Soils
; Adaptation strategies
; Atmospheric simulations
; Daily temperatures
; Earth system model
; Heat waves
; Maximum temperature
; Research priorities
; Summer temperature
; Climate change
; climate change
; climate modeling
; diurnal variation
; environmental assessment
; midlatitude environment
; soil moisture
; summer
; temperature effect
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英文摘要: | Projected changes in daily temperatures are highly model dependent, particularly in the summer midlatitudes where the spread in the response of heat waves represents a major obstacle for the design of adaptation strategies. Understanding the main reasons for such uncertainties is obviously a research priority. Here we use a set of global atmospheric simulations to assess the contribution of the soil moisture feedback to changes in the full distribution of daily maximum summer temperatures projected in the late 21st century. Results show that this feedback (i) accounts for up to one third of the mean increase in daily maximum temperatures, (ii) dominates changes in the shape of the distribution, and (iii) explains about half of the increase in the severity of heat waves over densely populated areas of the northern midlatitudes. A dedicated intercomparison project is therefore needed to assess and constrain land surface feedbacks in the new generation Earth System Models. © 2016. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. |
URL: | https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84961286062&doi=10.1002%2f2015GL066222&partnerID=40&md5=97a2339e581fbe0f1ed828aef2bb66f9
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Citation statistics: |
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资源类型: | 期刊论文
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标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/10397
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Appears in Collections: | 科学计划与规划 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: | CNRM-GAME, Toulouse, France
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Recommended Citation: |
Douville H.,Colin J.,Krug E.,et al. Midlatitude daily summer temperatures reshaped by soil moisture under climate change[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2016-01-01,43(2).
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