DOI: 10.1002/2015GL067050
论文题名: What would happen to Superstorm Sandy under the influence of a substantially warmer Atlantic Ocean?
作者: Lau W.K.M. ; Shi J.J. ; Tao W.K. ; Kim K.M.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-9448
EISSN: 1944-9179
出版年: 2016
卷: 43, 期: 2 起始页码: 802
结束页码: 811
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Superstorm Sandy
; warmer Atlantic Ocean
Scopus关键词: Rain
; Satellites
; Atlantic Ocean
; Coastal storm
; Counter clockwise rotation
; Extratropical transition
; Mid-latitude storms
; Second group
; Storm sizes
; Superstorms
; Storms
; amplification
; bifurcation
; ensemble forecasting
; Hurricane Sandy 2012
; numerical model
; precipitation intensity
; rainfall
; size
; storm
; warm water
; Atlantic Ocean
; Canada
; Maine
; Nova Scotia
; United States
英文摘要: Based on ensemble numerical simulations, we find that possible responses of Sandy-like superstorms under the influence of a substantially warmer Atlantic Ocean bifurcate into two groups. In the first group, storms are similar to present-day Sandy from genesis to extratropical transition, except they are much stronger, with peak Power Destructive Index (PDI) increased by 50-80%, heavy rain by 30-50%, and maximum storm size (MSS) approximately doubled. In the second group, storms amplify substantially over the interior of the Atlantic warm pool, with peak PDI increased by 100-160%, heavy rain by 70-180%, and MSS more than tripled compared to present-day Superstorm Sandy. These storms when exiting the warm pool, recurve northeastward out to sea, subsequently interact with the developing midlatitude storm by mutual counterclockwise rotation around each other and eventually amplify into a severe Northeastern coastal storm, making landfall over the extreme northeastern regions from Maine to Nova Scotia. © 2016. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84958078191&doi=10.1002%2f2015GL067050&partnerID=40&md5=833d2c90d174a8ae830382deebd6e9d0
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/10411
Appears in Collections: 科学计划与规划 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC), University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States
Recommended Citation:
Lau W.K.M.,Shi J.J.,Tao W.K.,et al. What would happen to Superstorm Sandy under the influence of a substantially warmer Atlantic Ocean?[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2016-01-01,43(2).