| DOI: | 10.1002/2015GL066855
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| 论文题名: | Regional variability of a projected sea ice-free Arctic during the summer months |
| 作者: | Laliberté F.; Howell S.E.L.; Kushner P.J.
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| 刊名: | Geophysical Research Letters
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| ISSN: | 0094-9503
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| EISSN: | 1944-9234
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| 出版年: | 2016
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| 卷: | 43, 期:1 | | 起始页码: | 256
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| 结束页码: | 263
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | Arctic change
; modeling
; sea ice
; shipping
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| Scopus关键词: | Climate change
; Electric power system interconnection
; Freight transportation
; Models
; Sea ice
; Anthropogenic climate changes
; Arctic change
; Climate projection
; Ice-free conditions
; Northern sea routes
; Northwest Passage
; Regional variability
; Sea ice retreats
; Ice
; anthropogenic effect
; climate change
; climate prediction
; future prospect
; ice cover
; ice free corridor
; ice retreat
; regional climate
; sea ice
; shipping
; spatiotemporal analysis
; Arctic Ocean
; Northwest Passage
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| 英文摘要: | Climate projections of sea ice retreat under anthropogenic climate change at the regional scale and in summer months other than September have largely not been evaluated. Information at this level of detail is vital for future planning of safe Arctic marine activities. Here the timing of when Arctic waters will be reliably ice free across Arctic regions from June to October is presented. It is shown that during this century regions along the Northern Sea Route and Arctic Bridge will be more reliably ice free than regions along the Northwest Passage and the Transpolar Sea Route, which will retain substantial sea ice cover past midcentury. Moreover, ice-free conditions in the Arctic will likely be confined to September for several decades to come in many regions. Projections using a selection of models that accounts for agreement of models in each region and calendar month with observations yield similar conclusions. © 2015. The Authors. |
| URL: | https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84957727838&doi=10.1002%2f2015GL066855&partnerID=40&md5=01930127daaa640e9c07b774e95ecd01
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| Citation statistics: |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/10466
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| Appears in Collections: | 科学计划与规划
气候变化与战略
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作者单位: | Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Laliberté F.,Howell S.E.L.,Kushner P.J.. Regional variability of a projected sea ice-free Arctic during the summer months[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2016-01-01,43(1).
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