globalchange  > 科学计划与规划
DOI: 10.1002/2015GL067267
论文题名:
Projected changes in east Australian midlatitude cyclones during the 21st century
作者: Pepler A.S.; Di Luca A.; Ji F.; Alexander L.V.; Evans J.P.; Sherwood S.C.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-9534
EISSN: 1944-9265
出版年: 2016
卷: 43, 期:1
起始页码: 334
结束页码: 340
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Australia ; midlatitude cyclone ; projections ; regional climate models ; severe weather
Scopus关键词: Climate change ; Electric power system interconnection ; Rain ; Storms ; Australia ; Midlatitude cyclones ; Projections ; Regional climate models ; Severe weather ; Climate models
英文摘要: The east coast of Australia is regularly influenced by midlatitude cyclones known as East Coast Lows. These form in a range of synoptic situations and are both a cause of severe weather and an important contributor to water security. This paper presents the first projections of future cyclone activity in this region using a regional climate model ensemble, with the use of a range of cyclone identification methods increasing the robustness of results. While there is considerable uncertainty in projections of cyclone frequency during the warm months, there is a robust agreement on a decreased frequency of cyclones during the winter months, when they are most common in the current climate. However, there is a potential increase in the frequency of cyclones with heavy rainfall and those closest to the coast and accordingly those with potential for severe flooding. © 2015. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84956588386&doi=10.1002%2f2015GL067267&partnerID=40&md5=f778e27fd68810f65813aa41a5d7ea97
Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/10497
Appears in Collections:科学计划与规划
气候变化与战略

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: Centre for Excellence for Climate System Science, Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Kensington, NSW, Australia

Recommended Citation:
Pepler A.S.,Di Luca A.,Ji F.,et al. Projected changes in east Australian midlatitude cyclones during the 21st century[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2016-01-01,43(1).
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Pepler A.S.]'s Articles
[Di Luca A.]'s Articles
[Ji F.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Pepler A.S.]'s Articles
[Di Luca A.]'s Articles
[Ji F.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Pepler A.S.]‘s Articles
[Di Luca A.]‘s Articles
[Ji F.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.