DOI: 10.1002/2016GL069024
论文题名: What caused the recent “Warm Arctic, Cold Continents” trend pattern in winter temperatures?
作者: Sun L. ; Perlwitz J. ; Hoerling M.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-9608
EISSN: 1944-9339
出版年: 2016
卷: 43, 期: 10 起始页码: 5345
结束页码: 5352
语种: 英语
英文关键词: internal variability
; recent Arctic sea ice loss
; winter temperature trend
Scopus关键词: Climate change
; Sea ice
; Anthropogenic forcing
; Arctic sea ice
; Atmospheric variability
; Daily temperatures
; Internal variability
; Northern Hemispheres
; Temperature trends
; Weather variability
; Ice
英文摘要: The emergence of rapid Arctic warming in recent decades has coincided with unusually cold winters over Northern Hemisphere continents. It has been speculated that this “Warm Arctic, Cold Continents” trend pattern is due to sea ice loss. Here we use multiple models to examine whether such a pattern is indeed forced by sea ice loss specifically and by anthropogenic forcing in general. While we show much of Arctic amplification in surface warming to result from sea ice loss, we find that neither sea ice loss nor anthropogenic forcing overall yield trends toward colder continental temperatures. An alternate explanation of the cooling is that it represents a strong articulation of internal atmospheric variability, evidence for which is derived from model data, and physical considerations. Sea ice loss impact on weather variability over the high-latitude continents is found, however, to be characterized by reduced daily temperature variability and fewer cold extremes. ©2016. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84971367733&doi=10.1002%2f2016GL069024&partnerID=40&md5=53c7db514a4bd9fa12d2d7578e65ddfc
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/10571
Appears in Collections: 科学计划与规划 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
Recommended Citation:
Sun L.,Perlwitz J.,Hoerling M.. What caused the recent “Warm Arctic, Cold Continents” trend pattern in winter temperatures?[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2016-01-01,43(10).