globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1038/ngeo2792
论文题名:
Intensification of landfalling typhoons over the northwest Pacific since the late 1970s
作者: Mei W.; Xie S.-P.
刊名: Nature Geoscience
ISSN: 17520894
出版年: 2016
卷: 9, 期:10
起始页码: 753
结束页码: 757
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: cluster analysis ; data set ; greenhouse gas ; open ocean ; sea surface ; storm ; typhoon ; warming ; China ; Far East ; Japan ; Korea ; Pacific Ocean ; Pacific Ocean (Northwest) ; Southeast Asia ; Taiwan
英文摘要: Intensity changes in landfalling typhoons are of great concern to East and Southeast Asian countries. Regional changes in typhoon intensity, however, are poorly known owing to inconsistencies among different data sets. Here, we apply cluster analysis to bias-corrected data and show that, over the past 37 years, typhoons that strike East and Southeast Asia have intensified by 12-15%, with the proportion of storms of categories 4 and 5 having doubled or even tripled. In contrast, typhoons that stay over the open ocean have experienced only modest changes. These regional changes are consistent between operational data sets. To identify the physical mechanisms, we decompose intensity changes into contributions from intensification rate and intensification duration. We find that the increased intensity of landfalling typhoons is due to strengthened intensification rates, which in turn are tied to locally enhanced ocean surface warming on the rim of East and Southeast Asia. The projected ocean surface warming pattern under increasing greenhouse gas forcing suggests that typhoons striking eastern mainland China, Taiwan, Korea and Japan will intensify further. Given disproportionate damages by intense typhoons, this represents a heightened threat to people and properties in the region. © 2016 Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature.
Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/105918
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应
科学计划与规划

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California at San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive, San Diego, CA, United States; Department of Marine Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 3202 Venable and Murray Halls, Chapel Hill, NC, United States

Recommended Citation:
Mei W.,Xie S.-P.. Intensification of landfalling typhoons over the northwest Pacific since the late 1970s[J]. Nature Geoscience,2016-01-01,9(10)
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Mei W.]'s Articles
[Xie S.-P.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Mei W.]'s Articles
[Xie S.-P.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Mei W.]‘s Articles
[Xie S.-P.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.