DOI: 10.1038/ngeo2456
论文题名: Steeper temporal distribution of rain intensity at higher temperatures within Australian storms
作者: Wasko C. ; Sharma A.
刊名: Nature Geoscience
ISSN: 17520894
出版年: 2015
卷: 8, 期: 7 起始页码: 527
结束页码: 529
语种: 英语
英文摘要: The mechanisms that cause changes in precipitation, as well as the resulting storm dynamics, under potential future warming remain debated. Measured sensitivities of precipitation to temperature variations in the present climate have been used to constrain model predictions, debate precipitation mechanisms and speculate on future changes to precipitation and flooding. Here, we analyse data sets of precipitation measurements at 6-min resolution from 79 locations throughout Australia, covering a broad range of climate zones, along with sub-daily temperature measurements of varying resolution. We investigate the relationship between temporal patterns of precipitation intensity within storm bursts and temperature variations in the present climate by calculating the scaling of the precipitation fractions within each storm burst. We find that in the present climate, a less uniform temporal pattern of precipitation-more intense peak precipitation and weaker precipitation during less intense times-is found at higher temperatures, regardless of the climatic region and season. We suggest invigorating storm dynamics could be associated with the warming temperatures expected over the course of the twenty-first century, which could lead to increases in the magnitude and frequency of short-duration floods. © 2015 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/106266
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 科学计划与规划
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作者单位: School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
Recommended Citation:
Wasko C.,Sharma A.. Steeper temporal distribution of rain intensity at higher temperatures within Australian storms[J]. Nature Geoscience,2015-01-01,8(7)