DOI: | 10.1038/ngeo1901
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论文题名: | The proportionality between relative plate velocity and seismicity in subduction zones |
作者: | Ide S.
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刊名: | Nature Geoscience
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ISSN: | 17520894
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出版年: | 2013
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卷: | 6, 期:9 | 起始页码: | 780
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结束页码: | 784
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语种: | 英语
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Scopus关键词: | aftershock
; deformation
; earthquake event
; earthquake magnitude
; nucleation
; plate motion
; plate tectonics
; seismicity
; slip rate
; subduction zone
; Alaska
; Cascadia Basin
; China
; Nankai
; Pacific Ocean
; Pacific Ocean (Southwest)
; Tianjin
; United States
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英文摘要: | Maximum earthquake magnitude and the rate of seismic activity apparently differ among subduction zones. This variation is attributed to factors such as subduction zone temperature and stress, and the type of material being subducted. The relative velocity between the downgoing and overriding plates controls their tectonic deformation. It is also thought to correlate with seismicity. Here I use the epidemic type aftershock sequence model to calculate the background seismicity rate-the frequency of seismic events above magnitude 4.5-for 117 sections of subduction zones worldwide, during the past century. I demonstrate a proportionality relationship whereby relative plate velocity correlates positively with seismicity rate. This relationship is prominent in the southwestern Pacific Ocean. However, although seismically active, this region has not experienced a magnitude 9 earthquake since 1900. In contrast, the Cascadia, Nankai, southern Chilean and Alaskan subduction zones exhibit low background seismicity rates, yet have experienced magnitude 9 earthquakes in the past century. Slow slip occurs in many of these regions, implying that slow deformation may aid nucleation of very large earthquakes. The proportionality relationship could be used to assess the seismic risk between two endmembers: active subduction zones that generate moderate earthquakes and quiet subduction zones that generate extremely large earthquakes. © 2013 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved. |
Citation statistics: |
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资源类型: | 期刊论文
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标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/106705
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Appears in Collections: | 气候减缓与适应 科学计划与规划
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作者单位: | Department of Earth and Planetary Science, University of Tokyo, Hongo 7-3-1, Bunkyo, Tokyo 113-0033, Japan
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Recommended Citation: |
Ide S.. The proportionality between relative plate velocity and seismicity in subduction zones[J]. Nature Geoscience,2013-01-01,6(9)
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