globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1111/ele.12904
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85042225955
论文题名:
Pathogen spillover during land conversion
作者: Faust C.L.; McCallum H.I.; Bloomfield L.S.P.; Gottdenker N.L.; Gillespie T.R.; Torney C.J.; Dobson A.P.; Plowright R.K.
刊名: Ecology Letters
ISSN: 1461023X
EISSN: 1461-0248
出版年: 2018
卷: 21, 期:4
起始页码: 471
结束页码: 483
语种: 英语
英文关键词: emerging infectious diseases ; interspecies transmission ; land use and land cover change
Scopus关键词: Animalia
英文摘要: Pathogen spillover from wildlife to domestic animals and humans, and the reverse, has caused significant epidemics and pandemics worldwide. Although pathogen emergence has been linked to anthropogenic land conversion, a general framework to disentangle underlying processes is lacking. We develop a multi-host model for pathogen transmission between species inhabiting intact and converted habitat. Interspecies contacts and host populations vary with the proportion of land converted; enabling us to quantify infection risk across a changing landscape. In a range of scenarios, the highest spillover risk occurs at intermediate levels of habitat loss, whereas the largest, but rarest, epidemics occur at extremes of land conversion. This framework provides insights into the mechanisms driving disease emergence and spillover during land conversion. The finding that the risk of spillover is highest at intermediate levels of habitat loss provides important guidance for conservation and public health policy. © 2018 John Wiley & Sons Ltd/CNRS
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/107476
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Montana State University, Montana, MT, United States; Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, Universtiy of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom; Environmental Futures Research Institute and Griffith School of Environment, Griffith University, Griffith, QLD, Australia; Emmett Interdisciplinary Program in Environment and Resources, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States; Department of Veterinary Pathology, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, United States; Department of Environmental Sciences, Department of Environmental Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Program In Population, Biology, Ecology and Evolution, Emory University, Athens, GA, United States; School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom

Recommended Citation:
Faust C.L.,McCallum H.I.,Bloomfield L.S.P.,et al. Pathogen spillover during land conversion[J]. Ecology Letters,2018-01-01,21(4)
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