DOI: 10.1111/ele.12747
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85014735047
论文题名: Effect of historical land-use and climate change on tree-climate relationships in the upper Midwestern United States
作者: Goring S.J. ; Williams J.W.
刊名: Ecology Letters
ISSN: 1461023X
EISSN: 1461-0248
出版年: 2017
卷: 20, 期: 4 起始页码: 461
结束页码: 470
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Anthropocene
; climate change
; climate disequilibrium
; forest inventory and analysis (FIA)
; fundamental niche
; historical ecology
; land-use
; niche shift
; Public Land Survey System
; realised niche
Scopus关键词: rain
; agriculture
; biological model
; climate change
; ecosystem
; forestry
; physiology
; plant dispersal
; temperature
; tree
; United States
; Agriculture
; Climate Change
; Ecosystem
; Forestry
; Midwestern United States
; Models, Biological
; Plant Dispersal
; Rain
; Temperature
; Trees
英文摘要: Contemporary forest inventory data are widely used to understand environmental controls on tree species distributions and to construct models to project forest responses to climate change, but the stability and representativeness of contemporary tree-climate relationships are poorly understood. We show that tree-climate relationships for 15 tree genera in the upper Midwestern US have significantly altered over the last two centuries due to historical land-use and climate change. Realised niches have shifted towards higher minimum temperatures and higher rainfall. A new attribution method implicates both historical climate change and land-use in these shifts, with the relative importance varying among genera and climate variables. Most climate/land-use interactions are compounding, in which historical land-use reinforces shifts in species-climate relationships toward wetter distributions, or confounding, in which land-use complicates shifts towards warmer distributions. Compounding interactions imply that contemporary-based models of species distributions may underestimate species resilience to climate change. © 2017 John Wiley & Sons Ltd/CNRS Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/107646
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: Department of Geography University of Wisconsin, Madison, 550 N Park St, Madison, WI, United States; Center for Climatic Research University of Wisconsin, Madison, 1225 W Dayton St., Madison, WI, United States
Recommended Citation:
Goring S.J.,Williams J.W.. Effect of historical land-use and climate change on tree-climate relationships in the upper Midwestern United States[J]. Ecology Letters,2017-01-01,20(4)