DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2018.06.002
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85049302450
论文题名: Changes of tropical cyclone tracks in the western North Pacific over 1979−2016
作者: ZHANG W.-Q. ; WU L.-G. ; ZOU X.-K.
刊名: Advances in Climate Change Research
ISSN: 16749278
出版年: 2018
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Beta drift
; Formation position
; Large-scale steering flows
; Trajectory model
; Tropical cyclone
英文摘要: The tropical cyclone (TC) trajectory model has been widely used to investigate the mechanism of the climate change of TC tracks. In this study, the Gaussian weight interpolation method is used to calculate the beta drift in the TC track or trajectory model. By simulating historical TC tracks, the new calculation can better simulate the spatial distribution of the frequency of TC occurrence. The improved track model is further used to understand the TC track change during the period of 1979–2016. In 1979–2016, the TC activity has been suppressed in the South China Sea (SCS) while the TC influence along the southeast coastal regions of China has been increased. The sensitivity experiments indicate that the change of the formation location plays a dominant role in decreasing TC influence in the SCS while the change of the environmental steering flows increases the TC influence in the eastern coastal region of China. This study suggests that the ongoing climate change can affect the TC activity along the coast of China. © 2018 National Climate Center (China Meteorological Administration) Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/108726
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化事实与影响
There are no files associated with this item.
作者单位: Pacific Typhoon Research Center, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China; Key Laboratory for Climate Studies National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, 100081, China
Recommended Citation:
ZHANG W.-Q.,WU L.-G.,ZOU X.-K.. Changes of tropical cyclone tracks in the western North Pacific over 1979−2016[J]. Advances in Climate Change Research,2018-01-01