DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.09.011
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85032175876
论文题名: Intercomparison of boundary layer parameterizations for summer conditions in the eastern Mediterranean island of Cyprus using the WRF - ARW model
作者: Tymvios F. ; Charalambous D. ; Michaelides S. ; Lelieveld J.
刊名: Atmospheric Research
ISSN: 1698095
出版年: 2018
卷: 208 起始页码: 45
结束页码: 59
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Boundary layer
; Cyprus
; Model intercomparison
; Parameterization
; WRF model
Scopus关键词: Boundary layers
; Errors
; Forecasting
; Landforms
; Mean square error
; Parameterization
; Statistical methods
; Wind
; Cyprus
; Model inter comparisons
; Planetary boundary layers
; Root mean squared errors
; Statistical performance measures
; Weather research and forecasting models
; Wind speed and directions
; WRF Model
; Weather forecasting
; atmospheric circulation
; boundary layer
; climate modeling
; coastal zone
; ensemble forecasting
; parameterization
; sea breeze
; summer
; time series analysis
; weather forecasting
; Cyprus
英文摘要: Ten planetary boundary-layer (PBL) parameterization schemes in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model have been evaluated with respect to temperature and wind forecasts for typical summer conditions in the eastern Mediterranean island of Cyprus. An ensemble of twenty-two simulations was performed, for a combination of the ten PBL and compatible surface layer parameterization schemes and each of the setups has been evaluated in view of forecasting skill and other statistical indices. Comparison of the model results with measurements from eight sites in Cyprus revealed significant differences in forecast skill, during both daytime (unstable conditions) and nighttime (stable conditions). The time series produced by the simulations were assessed against observations, in an effort to identify biases and skills in the forecasting ability of the models, employing commonly used statistical performance measures, such as the Mean Error, Mean Absolute Error, Mean Squared Error and Root Mean Squared Error. In summary, most simulations exhibit a negative bias for all stations concerning temperature and nearly all have positive biases for wind speed and direction. Statistical analysis of the results identified the best performing parameterization configurations for further investigation, to determine the most suitable setup for summertime forecasting in Cyprus, focusing on coastal stations, where land – sea breeze circulations govern the diurnal weather characteristics. © 2017 Elsevier B.V. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/108881
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Department of Meteorology, Nicosia, Cyprus; The Cyprus Institute, Nicosia, Cyprus; Max Plank Institute of Atmospheric Chemistry, Mainz, Germany
Recommended Citation:
Tymvios F.,Charalambous D.,Michaelides S.,et al. Intercomparison of boundary layer parameterizations for summer conditions in the eastern Mediterranean island of Cyprus using the WRF - ARW model[J]. Atmospheric Research,2018-01-01,208