DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3964-7
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85032813936
论文题名: Reduced cooling following future volcanic eruptions
作者: Hopcroft P.O. ; Kandlbauer J. ; Valdes P.J. ; Sparks R.S.J.
刊名: Climate Dynamics
ISSN: 9307575
出版年: 2018
卷: 51, 期: 4 起始页码: 1449
结束页码: 1463
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Aerosol
; HadGEM2-ES
; Radiative forcing
; Representative Concentration Pathway
; Tambora
Scopus关键词: aerosol
; climate feedback
; climate modeling
; climate variation
; cooling
; radiative forcing
; troposphere
; volcanic aerosol
; volcanic eruption
; Indonesia
; Lesser Sunda Islands
; Sumbawa
; Tambora
; West Nusa Tenggara
英文摘要: Volcanic eruptions are an important influence on decadal to centennial climate variability. Large eruptions lead to the formation of a stratospheric sulphate aerosol layer which can cause short-term global cooling. This response is modulated by feedback processes in the earth system, but the influence from future warming has not been assessed before. Using earth system model simulations we find that the eruption-induced cooling is significantly weaker in the future state. This is predominantly due to an increase in planetary albedo caused by increased tropospheric aerosol loading with a contribution from associated changes in cloud properties. The increased albedo of the troposphere reduces the effective volcanic aerosol radiative forcing. Reduced sea-ice coverage and hence feedbacks also contribute over high-latitudes, and an enhanced winter warming signal emerges in the future eruption ensemble. These findings show that the eruption response is a complex function of the environmental conditions, which has implications for the role of eruptions in climate variability in the future and potentially in the past. © 2017, The Author(s).
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/109206
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham, United Kingdom; School of Geographical Sciences and Department of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom; Frontiers, Geneva, Switzerland; School of Geographical Sciences and Cabot Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom; Department of Earth Sciences and Cabot Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
Recommended Citation:
Hopcroft P.O.,Kandlbauer J.,Valdes P.J.,et al. Reduced cooling following future volcanic eruptions[J]. Climate Dynamics,2018-01-01,51(4)