globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3927-z
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85032954368
论文题名:
Observed changes in temperature extremes over Asia and their attribution
作者: Dong S.; Sun Y.; Aguilar E.; Zhang X.; Peterson T.C.; Song L.; Zhang Y.
刊名: Climate Dynamics
ISSN: 9307575
出版年: 2018
卷: 51, 期:2018-01-02
起始页码: 339
结束页码: 353
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Anthropogenic forcing ; Attribution ; Extreme temperatures ; Observations in Asia
Scopus关键词: air temperature ; CMIP ; extreme event ; global warming ; observational method ; radiative forcing ; temporal variation ; trend analysis ; Asia
英文摘要: This study presents trends in a newly compiled temperature extreme indices dataset for Asia covering the period of 1958–2012. Daily data were homogenized prior to the calculation of the indices. A clear warming trend was observed in all indices, which is consistent with the global warming. In most of the indices, larger warming was observed at high latitudes than at low latitudes. We also compared observations with simulations from the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 for some indices using an optimal fingerprinting method. These indices include the number of days with daily maximum or minimum temperatures greater than their 90th percentiles or smaller than their 10th percentiles, the annual highest daily maximum and minimum temperatures, and the annual lowest daily maximum and minimum temperatures. We determined that the warming trend was inconsistent with the natural variability of the climate system but agreed with climate responses to external forcing as simulated by the models. The anthropogenic and natural signals could be detected and separated from each other in the region for almost all indices, indicating the robustness of the warming signal as well as the attribution of warming to external causes. © 2017, The Author(s).
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/109216
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: National Climate Center, Laboratory for Climate Studies, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China; Centre for Climate Change, C3, University Rovira i Virgili, Vilaseca, Tarragona, Spain; Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada; Commission for Climatology, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland

Recommended Citation:
Dong S.,Sun Y.,Aguilar E.,et al. Observed changes in temperature extremes over Asia and their attribution[J]. Climate Dynamics,2018-01-01,51(2018-01-02)
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