DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3902-8
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85029441840
论文题名: Projected sea level rise, gyre circulation and water mass formation in the western North Pacific: CMIP5 inter-model analysis
作者: Terada M. ; Minobe S.
刊名: Climate Dynamics
ISSN: 9307575
出版年: 2018
卷: 50, 期: 2018-11-12 起始页码: 4767
结束页码: 4782
语种: 英语
英文关键词: CMIP5 climate models
; Dynamic sea level
; Global warming
; Kuroshio Extension
; Subtropical mode water
; Western North Pacific
Scopus关键词: climate modeling
; CMIP
; density
; ensemble forecasting
; global warming
; gyre
; sea level change
; water mass
; wind stress
; Japan
; Kuroshio Extension
; Pacific Ocean
; Pacific Ocean (West)
英文摘要: Future changes in the dynamic sea level (DSL), which is defined as sea-level deviation from the global mean sea level, is investigated over the North Pacific, by analyzing data from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5. The analysis provides more comprehensive descriptions of DSL responses to the global warming in this region than available from previous studies, by using surface and subsurface data until the year 2300 under middle and high greenhouse-gas emission scenarios. The DSL changes in the North Pacific are characterized by a DSL rise in the western North Pacific around the Kuroshio Extension (KE), as also reported by previous studies. Subsurface density analysis indicates that DSL rise around the KE is associated with decrease in density of subtropical mode water (STMW) and with northward KE migration, the former (latter) of which is relatively strong between 2000 and 2100 for both RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 (between 2100 and 2300 for RCP8.5). The STMW density decrease is related to large heat uptake to the south and southeast of Japan, while the northward KE migration is associated with the poleward shift of the wind stress field. These features are commonly found in multi-model ensemble means and the relations among representative quantities produced by different climate models. © 2017, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/109287
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Department of Natural History Sciences, Graduate School of Science, Hokkaido University, Science 8th bldg. 302, N10W8, Sapporo, 060-0810, Japan
Recommended Citation:
Terada M.,Minobe S.. Projected sea level rise, gyre circulation and water mass formation in the western North Pacific: CMIP5 inter-model analysis[J]. Climate Dynamics,2018-01-01,50(2018-11-12)