globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.5194/cp-14-413-2018
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85044784682
论文题名:
A 305-year continuous monthly rainfall series for the island of Ireland (1711-2016)
作者: Murphy C.; Broderick C.; Burt T.P.; Curley M.; Duffy C.; Hall J.; Harrigan S.; Matthews T.K.R.; Macdonald N.; McCarthy G.; McCarthy M.P.; Mullan D.; Noone S.; Osborn T.J.; Ryan C.; Sweeney J.; Thorne P.; Walsh S.; Wilby R.L.
刊名: Climate of the Past
ISSN: 18149324
出版年: 2018
卷: 14, 期:3
起始页码: 413
结束页码: 440
语种: 英语
英文摘要: A continuous 305-year (1711-2016) monthly rainfall series (IoI-1711) is created for the Island of Ireland. The post 1850 series draws on an existing quality assured rainfall network for Ireland, while pre-1850 values come from instrumental and documentary series compiled, but not published by the UK Met Office. The series is evaluated by comparison with independent long-term observations and reconstructions of precipitation, temperature and circulation indices from across the British-Irish Isles. Strong decadal consistency of IoI-1711 with other long-term observations is evident throughout the annual, boreal spring and autumn series. Annually, the most recent decade (2006-2015) is found to be the wettest in over 300 years. The winter series is probably too dry between the 1740s and 1780s, but strong consistency with other long-term observations strengthens confidence from 1790 onwards. The IoI-1711 series has remarkably wet winters during the 1730s, concurrent with a period of strong westerly airflow, glacial advance throughout Scandinavia and near unprecedented warmth in the Central England Temperature record - all consistent with a strongly positive phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation. Unusually wet summers occurred in the 1750s, consistent with proxy (tree-ring) reconstructions of summer precipitation in the region. Our analysis shows that inter-decadal variability of precipitation is much larger than previously thought, while relationships with key modes of climate variability are time-variant. The IoI-1711 series reveals statistically significant multi-centennial trends in winter (increasing) and summer (decreasing) seasonal precipitation. However, given uncertainties in the early winter record, the former finding should be regarded as tentative. The derived record, one of the longest continuous series in Europe, offers valuable insights for understanding multi-decadal and centennial rainfall variability in Ireland, and provides a firm basis for benchmarking other long-term records and reconstructions of past climate. Correlation of Irish rainfall with other parts of Europe increases the utility of the series for understanding historical climate in further regions. © 2018 Copernicus. All Rights Reserved.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/109579
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Irish Climate Analysis and Research UnitS (ICARUS), Department of Geography, Maynooth University, Maynooth, Ireland; Department of Geography, Durham University, Durham, DH1 3LE, United Kingdom; Climatology and Observations Division, Met Éireann, Dublin, Ireland; Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Technische Universität Wien, Vienna, Austria; Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, OX10 8BB, United Kingdom; School of Natural Sciences and Psychology, Liverpool John Moores University, Liverpool, Merseyside, L3 3AF, United Kingdom; Department of Geography and Planning, School of Environmental Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom; Met Office, Hadley Centre, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, United Kingdom; School of Natural and Built Environment, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, United Kingdom; Climate Research Unit, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; Department of Geography, Loughborough University, Loughborough, United Kingdom; Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 2LR, United Kingdom

Recommended Citation:
Murphy C.,Broderick C.,Burt T.P.,et al. A 305-year continuous monthly rainfall series for the island of Ireland (1711-2016)[J]. Climate of the Past,2018-01-01,14(3)
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