DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14327
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85051468866
论文题名: Vulnerability of the global terrestrial ecosystems to climate change
作者: Li D. ; Wu S. ; Liu L. ; Zhang Y. ; Li S.
刊名: Global Change Biology
ISSN: 13541013
出版年: 2018
卷: 24, 期: 9 起始页码: 4095
结束页码: 4106
语种: 英语
英文关键词: adaptive strategies
; climate change
; ecosystem exposure
; ecosystem resilience
; ecosystem sensitivity
; ecosystem vulnerability
英文摘要: Climate change has far-reaching impacts on ecosystems. Recent attempts to quantify such impacts focus on measuring exposure to climate change but largely ignore ecosystem resistance and resilience, which may also affect the vulnerability outcomes. In this study, the relative vulnerability of global terrestrial ecosystems to short-term climate variability was assessed by simultaneously integrating exposure, sensitivity, and resilience at a high spatial resolution (0.05°). The results show that vulnerable areas are currently distributed primarily in plains. Responses to climate change vary among ecosystems and deserts and xeric shrublands are the most vulnerable biomes. Global vulnerability patterns are determined largely by exposure, while ecosystem sensitivity and resilience may exacerbate or alleviate external climate pressures at local scales; there is a highly significant negative correlation between exposure and sensitivity. Globally, 61.31% of the terrestrial vegetated area is capable of mitigating climate change impacts and those areas are concentrated in polar regions, boreal forests, tropical rainforests, and intact forests. Under current sensitivity and resilience conditions, vulnerable areas are projected to develop in high Northern Hemisphere latitudes in the future. The results suggest that integrating all three aspects of vulnerability (exposure, sensitivity, and resilience) may offer more comprehensive and spatially explicit adaptation strategies to reduce the impacts of climate change on terrestrial ecosystems. © 2018 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/110271
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化事实与影响
There are no files associated with this item.
作者单位: College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China; Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes of The Ministry of Education, Peking University, Beijing, China
Recommended Citation:
Li D.,Wu S.,Liu L.,et al. Vulnerability of the global terrestrial ecosystems to climate change[J]. Global Change Biology,2018-01-01,24(9)