| DOI: | 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2014.10.007
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| 论文题名: | Sea-level rise in the Mediterranean Sea by 2050: Roles of terrestrial ice melt, steric effects and glacial isostatic adjustment |
| 作者: | Galassi G.; Spada G.
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| ISSN: | 0921-8411
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| 出版年: | 2014
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| 卷: | 123, 期:PA | | 起始页码: | 55
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| 结束页码: | 66
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | Future sea-level rise
; Mediterranean Sea
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| Scopus关键词: | Computer simulation
; Glacial geology
; Ice
; Tide gages
; Coupled models
; Glacial Isostatic Adjustments
; Global scenarios
; Last Glacial Maximum
; Mediterranean sea
; Regional pattern
; Sea level rise
; Sealevel change
; Sea level
; atmosphere-ocean coupling
; chronology
; glacier mass balance
; glacioisostasy
; Last Glacial Maximum
; rheology
; sea level change
; tide gauge
; Antarctic Ice Sheet
; Antarctica
; Arctic
; Greenland
; Greenland Ice Sheet
; Mediterranean Sea
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| 英文摘要: | To assess the regional pattern of future low-frequency sea-level variations in the Mediterranean Sea, we combine the terrestrial ice melt, the glacio-isostatic and the steric sea-level components. The first is obtained from global scenarios for the future mass balance of the Greenland and Antarctica ice sheets, glaciers and ice caps. The second is based on modeling, using different assumptions about the Earth's rheology and the chronology of deglaciation since the Last Glacial Maximum. The third is obtained from published simulations based on regional atmosphere-ocean coupled models. From a minimum and a maximum scenario by 2040-2050, we find that the total, basin averaged sea-level rise will be 9.8 and 25.6. cm. The terrestrial ice melt component will exceed the steric contribution, which however will show the strongest regional imprint. Glacial isostatic adjustment will have comparatively minor effects. According to our estimates, at the Mediterranean Sea tide gauges, the rate of sea-level change will increase, by 2050, by a factor of ~. 1-6 relative to the observed long-term rates. © 2014 Elsevier B.V. |
| URL: | https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84912091026&doi=10.1016%2fj.gloplacha.2014.10.007&partnerID=40&md5=80866a3b96589b919bfc04329db174f7
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| Citation statistics: |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/11317
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| Appears in Collections: | 全球变化的国际研究计划
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作者单位: | Dipartimento di Scienze di Base e Fondamenti (DiSBeF), Università degli Studi di Urbino Carlo Bo, Urbino, Italy
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Galassi G.,Spada G.. Sea-level rise in the Mediterranean Sea by 2050: Roles of terrestrial ice melt, steric effects and glacial isostatic adjustment[J],2014-01-01,123(PA).
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