| DOI: | 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2015.05.012
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| 论文题名: | Water availability change in central Belgium for the late 21st century |
| 作者: | Tabari H.; Taye M.T.; Willems P.
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| 刊名: | Global and Planetary Change
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| ISSN: | 0921-8181
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| 出版年: | 2015
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| 卷: | 131 | | 起始页码: | 115
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| 结束页码: | 123
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | Climate change
; CMIP5 models
; Evapotranspiration
; Precipitation
; Water balance
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| Scopus关键词: | Climate models
; Evapotranspiration
; Precipitation (chemical)
; Available water
; Emission scenario
; Intercomparisons
; Potential evapotranspiration
; Potential impacts
; Water availability
; Water balance
; Water balance components
; Climate change
; climate change
; climate effect
; evapotranspiration
; future prospect
; precipitation (climatology)
; spatiotemporal analysis
; twenty first century
; water availability
; water budget
; Belgium
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| 英文摘要: | We investigate the potential impact of climate change on water availability in central Belgium. Two water balance components being precipitation and potential evapotranspiration are initially projected for the late 21st century (2071-2100) based on 30 Coupled Models Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) models relative to a baseline period of 1961-1990, assuming forcing by four representative concentration pathway emission scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0, RCP8.5). The future available water is then estimated as the difference between precipitation and potential evapotranspiration projections. The number of wet days and mean monthly precipitation for summer season is projected to decrease in most of the scenarios, while the projections show an increase in those variables for the winter months. Potential evapotranspiration is expected to increase during both winter and summer seasons. The results show a decrease in water availability for summer and an increase for winter, suggesting drier summers and wetter winters for the late 21st century in central Belgium. © 2015 Elsevier B.V. |
| URL: | https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84930652667&doi=10.1016%2fj.gloplacha.2015.05.012&partnerID=40&md5=ea292381a32f4cf4f90e748a315feb8a
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| Citation statistics: |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/11506
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| Appears in Collections: | 全球变化的国际研究计划
气候变化与战略
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作者单位: | Hydraulics Division, Department of Civil Engineering, KU Leuven, Kasteelpark Arenberg 40, Leuven, Belgium
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Tabari H.,Taye M.T.,Willems P.. Water availability change in central Belgium for the late 21st century[J]. Global and Planetary Change,2015-01-01,131.
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