DOI: 10.3354/cr01378
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84961793551
论文题名: Harmfulness of weather events and the adaptive capacity of farmers at high latitudes of Europe
作者: Peltonen-Sainio P. ; Venäläinen A. ; Mäkelä H.M. ; Pirinen P. ; Laapas M. ; Jauhiainen L. ; Kaseva J. ; Ojanen H. ; Korhonen P. ; Huusela-Veistola E. ; Jalli M. ; Hakala K. ; Kaukoranta T. ; Virkajärvi P.
刊名: Climate Research
ISSN: 0936577X
出版年: 2016
卷: 67, 期: 3 起始页码: 221
结束页码: 240
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Crop production
; Drought
; Frost
; Overwintering
; Precipitation
; Temperature
Scopus关键词: agricultural diversification
; canola
; cereal
; climate change
; crop damage
; crop production
; drought
; ecosystem resilience
; farmers attitude
; forage
; latitude
; overwintering
; precipitation (climatology)
; probability
; temperature profile
; vulnerability
; weather
; Europe
; Brassica napus
英文摘要: The climate in high latitudes is characterized by large variability in the weather, leading to significant and diverse risks in agriculture. This study aimed to ascertain the most harmful weather events for different crops, and identify the potential for improving resilience of high-latitude agricultural systems to climate change and variability through diversified crop choices. Weather-related crop losses were characterized according to the relevant literature, and the knowledge gaps were reduced using analyses of original data. The study included the major field crops: spring and winter cereals, rapeseed and forage crops. Data from the Finnish Meteorological Institute were used to calculate the probabilities of occurrence of each of the weather constraints identified. By multiplying the crop loss by the probability of the constraint, the harmful-ness of each single event was identified and ranked. Harmfulness was further coupled with the means available for a farmer to avoid or recover from climatic constraints, in order to assess adaptive capacity. For spring cereals, drought- and elevated temperature-related hindrances predominated as the most harmful events. For winter cereals and forage crops, overwintering damage caused by mild to cold shifts during wintertime was an example of insufficient adaptive capacity. For rapeseed, pest invasions, elevated temperatures and night frosts were among the most challenging events. Due to the sometimes striking differences between crops in their vulnerability to climatological constraints, future means for improving resilience to weather events and variability at high latitudes may be offered by more diverse crop choices. © Inter-Research 2016. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/116419
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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Recommended Citation:
Peltonen-Sainio P.,Venäläinen A.,Mäkelä H.M.,et al. Harmfulness of weather events and the adaptive capacity of farmers at high latitudes of Europe[J]. Climate Research,2016-01-01,67(3)