globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.3354/cr01311
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84945539213
论文题名:
Strategies for adapting maize to climate change and extreme temperatures in Andalusia, Spain
作者: Gabaldón-Leal C.; Lorite I.J.; Mínguez M.I.; Lizaso J.I.; Dosio A.; Sanchez E.; Ruiz-Ramos M.
刊名: Climate Research
ISSN: 0936577X
出版年: 2015
卷: 65
起始页码: 159
结束页码: 173
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Adaptation ; Climate change ; Crop model ; Extreme temperature ; Impact ; Maize ; Regional climate model
Scopus关键词: agricultural modeling ; carbon dioxide ; climate change ; crop production ; crop yield ; data set ; irrigation system ; maize ; precipitation (climatology) ; temperature ; Andalucia ; Iberian Peninsula ; Spain ; Zea mays
英文摘要: Climate projections indicate that rising temperatures will affect summer crops in the southern Iberian Peninsula. The aim of this study was to obtain projections of the impacts of rising temperatures, and of higher frequency of extreme events on irrigated maize, and to evaluate some adaptation strategies. The study was conducted at several locations in Andalusia using the CERESMaize crop model, previously calibrated/validated with local experimental datasets. The simulated climate consisted of projections from regional climate models from the ENSEMBLES project; these were corrected for daily temperature and precipitation with regard to the E-OBS observational dataset. These bias-corrected projections were used with the CERES-Maize model to generate future impacts. Crop model results showed a decrease in maize yield by the end of the 21st century from 6 to 20%, a decrease of up to 25% in irrigation water requirements, and an increase in irrigation water productivity of up to 22%, due to earlier maturity dates and stomatal closure caused by CO2 increase. When adaptation strategies combining earlier sowing dates and cultivar changes were considered, impacts were compensated, and maize yield increased up to 14%, compared with the baseline period (1981-2010), with similar reductions in crop irrigation water requirements. Effects of extreme maximum temperatures rose to 40% at the end of the 21st century, compared with the baseline. Adaptation resulted in an overall reduction in extreme Tmax damages in all locations, with the exception of Granada, where losses were limited to 8%. © Inter-Research 2015.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/116472
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Recommended Citation:
Gabaldón-Leal C.,Lorite I.J.,Mínguez M.I.,et al. Strategies for adapting maize to climate change and extreme temperatures in Andalusia, Spain[J]. Climate Research,2015-01-01,65
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