DOI: 10.1002/joc.5799
论文题名: Reply to comments on “Temperature-extreme precipitation scaling: a two-way causality?”
作者: Lenderink G. ; Barbero R. ; Westra S. ; Fowler H.J.
刊名: International Journal of Climatology
ISSN: 8998418
出版年: 2018
卷: 38, 期: 12 起始页码: 4664
结束页码: 4666
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Australia
; climate change
; dew point temperature
; precipitation extreme
; temperature-extreme precipitation scaling
Scopus关键词: Climate change
; Global warming
; Absolute humidity
; Australia
; Dewpoint temperature
; Extreme precipitation
; Negative dependency
; Precipitation extremes
; Temperature extremes
; Temperature scaling
; Rain
; air temperature
; atmospheric moisture
; climate change
; extreme event
; global warming
; humidity
; precipitation (climatology)
; prediction
; rainfall
; Australia
英文摘要: In recent years, numerous studies have investigated the relationship of extreme precipitation intensities with temperature derived from a binning method using present-day weather data. The aim of this approach is that these dependencies, or so-called apparent scaling rates, provide insights on how precipitation extremes could evolve in the future climate. In a recent paper, Bao et al. showed that there is a large discrepancy between the present-day apparent scaling rates—showing a negative dependency of daily rainfall extremes on temperature for Darwin—and the climate change response showing a substantial increase in daily rainfall extremes. Their results provide compelling evidence that it may not be straightforward to predict the climate change response from the temperature scaling. We agree with this statement, but disagree with the physical explanation put forward in that study and think that moisture limitations are the most likely cause. Therefore, we advocate the use of dew point temperatures in scaling studies as a much more direct proxy of the absolute humidity of the air in which precipitation extremes develop, which we think is physically more consistent with the underlying mechanism causing the increase in precipitation extremes with global warming. © 2018 Royal Meteorological Society Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/116778
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, Netherlands; Irstea, Mediterranean Ecosystems and Risks, Aix-en-Provence, France; School of Civil, Environmental and Mining Engineering, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, Australia; School of Engineering, Newcastle University, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, United Kingdom
Recommended Citation:
Lenderink G.,Barbero R.,Westra S.,et al. Reply to comments on “Temperature-extreme precipitation scaling: a two-way causality?”[J]. International Journal of Climatology,2018-01-01,38(12)