DOI: 10.1002/joc.5532
论文题名: Extreme drought hotspot analysis for adaptation to a changing climate: Assessment of applicability to the five major river basins of the Korean Peninsula
作者: Lee J.-H. ; Park S.-Y. ; Kim J.-S. ; Sur C. ; Chen J.
刊名: International Journal of Climatology
ISSN: 8998418
出版年: 2018
卷: 38, 期: 10 起始页码: 4025
结束页码: 4032
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change
; extreme drought
; hotspot drought risk index (HDRI)
; Korean Peninsula
Scopus关键词: Drought
; Risk analysis
; Risk assessment
; Risk perception
; Rivers
; Watersheds
; Changing climate
; Climate change scenarios
; Coping strategies
; Drought characteristics
; Drought risks
; Korean Peninsula
; Nakdong river basins
; Quantitative approach
; Climate change
; adaptive management
; climate change
; climatology
; drought
; extreme event
; risk assessment
; river basin
; Han Basin [Far East]
; Korea
; Nakdong Basin
; South Korea
英文摘要: This study proposes a quantitative approach for extreme drought hotspot assessment related to climate change, the hotspot drought risk index (HDRI), and evaluates the response of extreme drought to climate change in the five major river basins of the Korean Peninsula. According to an analysis of seasonal and regional drought characteristics on the Korean Peninsula, drought occurs most frequently in spring, and the central and southern areas are generally more vulnerable to drought. Drought risk analysis under various climate change scenarios indicates significant drought risk over the entire Korean Peninsula excepting some parts of the Han and Nakdong river basins from 2011 to 2040. Extreme drought may be particularly severe in the mid-west area as these basins lack available water resources. Drought risk decreases in the southern Korean Peninsula in the 2011–2040 and 2071–2099 periods, during which the area vulnerable to drought also decreases. However, some parts of central Korea and the western and eastern coastlines remain susceptible to drought. The drought risk evaluation method suggested herein may be useful for predicting drought and establishing realistic coping strategies for extreme drought in a changing climate. © 2018 Royal Meteorological Society Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/116827
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: Department of Civil Engineering, Joongbu University, Goyang, South Korea; State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
Recommended Citation:
Lee J.-H.,Park S.-Y.,Kim J.-S.,et al. Extreme drought hotspot analysis for adaptation to a changing climate: Assessment of applicability to the five major river basins of the Korean Peninsula[J]. International Journal of Climatology,2018-01-01,38(10)