globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1002/joc.5237
论文题名:
Surface wind speed: trend and climatology of Brazil from 1980–2014
作者: Gilliland J.M.; Keim B.D.
刊名: International Journal of Climatology
ISSN: 8998418
出版年: 2018
卷: 38, 期:2
起始页码: 1060
结束页码: 1073
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Brazil ; GIS ; Mann–Kendall test ; quantile regression ; wind speed trend
Scopus关键词: Geographic information systems ; Regression analysis ; Speed ; Wind power ; Brazil ; Intertropical convergence zone ; Non-parametric regression ; Quantile regression ; Renewable wind energy ; Spatial and temporal trends ; Surface wind speed ; Wind speed ; Wind ; climatology ; GIS ; regression analysis ; trend analysis ; wind velocity ; Brazil
英文摘要: This study examines the spatial and temporal surface (10 m) wind speed trend characteristics of Brazil during 1980–2014 using two in situ and three climate reanalysis datasets. Nonparametric regression is used to understand how mean seasonal and annual wind speeds change over space and time across Brazil. Overall temporal linear trends show that station and reanalysis products exhibit varying seasonal and annual wind speed trends. A geographic examination displays statistically significant (P < 0.05) positive (negative) mean wind speed trends for equatorial (southeastern and central) Brazil. Quantile regression is performed to interpret how wind speed changed across different percentiles. Results show that the largest positive and negative spatial wind speed trends occur for the upper percentiles (75 and 95%). The spatial and temporal trends and correlations described could be interconnected to possible changes developing with the location of Intertropical Convergence Zone and South Atlantic Anticyclone over the study region. Results have implications for optimizing renewable wind energy production and development across Brazil. © 2017 Royal Meteorological Society
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/117095
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作者单位: Department of Geography and Anthropology, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA, United States

Recommended Citation:
Gilliland J.M.,Keim B.D.. Surface wind speed: trend and climatology of Brazil from 1980–2014[J]. International Journal of Climatology,2018-01-01,38(2)
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