DOI: 10.1002/joc.5232
论文题名: Evaluation of regional COSMO-CLM climate simulations over the eastern Mediterranean for the period 1979–2011
作者: Hochman A. ; Bucchignani E. ; Gershtein G. ; Krichak S.O. ; Alpert P. ; Levi Y. ; Yosef Y. ; Carmona Y. ; Breitgand J. ; Mercogliano P. ; Zolloc A.L.
刊名: International Journal of Climatology
ISSN: 8998418
出版年: 2018
卷: 38, 期: 3 起始页码: 1161
结束页码: 1176
语种: 英语
英文关键词: COSMO-CLM
; ETCCDI
; Extreme precipitation
; Extreme temperature
; RCM
Scopus关键词: Climate change
; Precipitation (meteorology)
; Sensitivity analysis
; Climate change detection
; Climate characteristics
; COSMO-CLM
; ETCCDI
; Extreme precipitation
; Extreme temperature indices
; Extreme temperatures
; Regional climate modeling (RCM)
; Climate models
; climate modeling
; computer simulation
; precipitation (climatology)
; regional climate
; temperature effect
; Israel
; Mediterranean Region
英文摘要: The Regional Climate Model (RCM) COSMO-CLM capability to reproduce the climate characteristics, including extreme values, over the Eastern Mediterranean (EM) was tested. Model configuration has been chosen based on a previously performed sensitivity analysis, aimed to ascertain the accuracy of model performances over Israel. Three simulations driven by ERA Interim reanalysis data for 1979–2011 have been performed using the 0.44˚, 0.22˚ and 0.0715˚ horizontal resolutions equivalent to about 50˚, 25˚ and 8 km, respectively. The CORDEX-MENA domain has been employed for the simulation at resolutions 0.44˚ and 0.22˚. Nested in the 0.22˚ domain the highest resolution of 0.0715˚ is performed over Israel. The model response was analysed for daily precipitation, 2m average temperature, maximum temperature, minimum temperature and a subset of climate indicators defined by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices for temperature and precipitation. Results were inter-compared and evaluated against observations. The increased resolution was found to improve precipitation and temperature results. Extreme precipitation indices were well reproduced compared with observations, with a 13% averaged percentage bias. COSMO-CLM was able to reproduce the EM precipitation gradients, with mostly overestimations in the coastal plains and underestimations in the mountains. Extreme temperature indices related to maximum temperatures were reproduced relatively well with an averaged percentage bias of 5.7%. The ability of the model to reproduce minimum temperature observational values was found to be highly dependent on station location with respect to topography. The results in this study are considered a substantial improvement from earlier RCM evaluation studies. © 2017 Royal Meteorological Society. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/117134
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
There are no files associated with this item.
作者单位: Department of Geosciences, School of Geosciences, Tel Aviv Unversity, Tel Aviv, 69978, Israel; Porter School of Environmental Studies, School of Geosciences, Tel-Aviv University, Israel; CMCC Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Impacts on Soil and Coast Division, Capua, Italy; Meteorology Lab, CIRA Centro Italiano Ricerche Aerospaziali, Capua, Italy; Israel Meteorological Service, Beit-Dagan, Israel
Recommended Citation:
Hochman A.,Bucchignani E.,Gershtein G.,et al. Evaluation of regional COSMO-CLM climate simulations over the eastern Mediterranean for the period 1979–2011[J]. International Journal of Climatology,2018-01-01,38(3)