Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85060943334
论文题名: New real-time indices for the quasi-biweekly oscillation over the Asian summer monsoon region
作者: Qian Y. ; Hsu P.-C. ; Kazuyoshi K.
刊名: Climate Dynamics
ISSN: 9307575
出版年: 2019
语种: 英语
英文关键词: EEOF analysis
; Quasi-biweekly oscillation
; Real-time monitoring
英文摘要: The quasi-biweekly oscillation (QBWO), with a periodicity of 10–30 days, is one of the most important modes of intraseasonal variability over the Asian summer monsoon region. Unlike the lower frequency (30–60 days) Madden–Julian Oscillation, which has had several real-time indices proposed for monitoring and predicting its state, there are very few equivalents for the QBWO. Given that extended empirical orthogonal function (EEOF) analysis is arguably more suitable than empirical orthogonal function analysis for capturing the canonical spatial and temporal structure of a propagating wave system, we introduce two new indices for real-time monitoring of the QBWO over the tropical western North Pacific (WNP) and Indian Ocean (IO), separately, by projecting outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) anomalies onto the two leading modes of EEOF analysis for the 10–30-day-filtered OLR anomalies over the two basins during 1980–2012. The newly proposed QBWO indices faithfully represent the vigorous QBWO activities over the WNP and IO, which are underestimated and/or not necessarily well represented by existing indices. It is also shown that the indices are able to reveal the connections between the QBWO and other pronounced phenomena, such as the onset of the South China Sea and Indian monsoons, the occurrence of extreme rainfall events, and tropical cyclone genesis. Thus, monitoring and predicting the evolution of the QBWO in these two basins based on the new QBWO indices should help in the quest to mitigate future damage caused by weather-related disasters at an extended lead time. © 2019, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/122561
Appears in Collections: 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster of Ministry of Education/Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change/Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China; International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, United States
Recommended Citation:
Qian Y.,Hsu P.-C.,Kazuyoshi K.. New real-time indices for the quasi-biweekly oscillation over the Asian summer monsoon region[J]. Climate Dynamics,2019-01-01