globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1016/j.fcr.2019.05.016
WOS记录号: WOS:000483411700001
论文题名:
Seasonal variability in potential and actual yields of winter wheat in China
作者: Sun, Shuang1; Yang, Xiaoguang1; Lin, Xiaomao2; Zhao, Jin1; Liu, Zhijuan1; Zhang, Tianyi3; Xie, Wenjuan4
通讯作者: Yang, Xiaoguang
刊名: FIELD CROPS RESEARCH
ISSN: 0378-4290
EISSN: 1872-6852
出版年: 2019
卷: 240, 页码:1-11
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Winter wheat ; Yield potential ; Yield variability ; APSIM-Wheat
WOS关键词: WATER-USE EFFICIENCY ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; CROP YIELD ; HEAT-STRESS ; GRAIN-YIELD ; NITROGEN MANAGEMENT ; ADAPTATION OPTIONS ; SOIL FERTILITY ; LOESS PLATEAU ; SUMMER MAIZE
WOS学科分类: Agronomy
WOS研究方向: Agriculture
英文摘要:

Understanding the historical variability of winter wheat yield in China can provide insights into future wheat production security and adaptation measures. In this study, two indices, i.e., yield gap percentage (YG(percentage)) and yield variation difference (VD), were employed to investigate the winter wheat relatively yield level and yield variability from 1980 to 2010 in 1340 counties in China using a county-level dataset and a crop model (APSIM-Wheat). The study area was classified into four types of regions with different yield patterns: relatively high-yield level and high stability (RHY-RHS), relatively high-yield level and low stability (RHY-RLS), relatively low-yield level and high stability (RLY-RHS), and relatively low-yield level and low stability (RLY-RLS). Relatively high-yield levels in terms of YG(percentage) were found in the eastern parts of the Northern China Plain (NC) and the Yellow and Huai River Valleys (YH), the southern area of Xinjiang (XJ), and the northern part of the Middle and Lower Yangtze Valleys (YV), as well as a small section in the middle of Southwestern China (SW). Yield potential was more stable than the actual yield in most of the study regions, with positive VD. A decreasing trend was observed in both the YG(percentage) and VD over the three decades. Consequently, the county percentage of RHY-RHS and RHY-RLS increased but the percentage of RLY-RHS and RLY-RLS decreased over the three decades, indicating improved winter wheat yield level and yield stability in China, which might be attributed to the development of agricultural technology and breeding. Nonetheless, there are still some vulnerable areas in need of further attention. Western NC and southern YH are regions with a potentially stable yield in the future. Given that YH accounts for a large proportion of winter wheat production in China, further investigation should be conducted to identify the underlying causes of the low-yield level and high yield variability in YH.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/124613
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.China Agr Univ, Coll Resources & Environm Sci, Beijing 100193, Peoples R China
2.Kansas State Univ, Dept Agron, Manhattan, KS 66506 USA
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Atmospher Boundary Layer Phys & Atm, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
4.Hebei Meteorol Bur, Hebei Meteorol Disaster Prevent Ctr, Shijiazhuang 050021, Hebei, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Sun, Shuang,Yang, Xiaoguang,Lin, Xiaomao,et al. Seasonal variability in potential and actual yields of winter wheat in China[J]. FIELD CROPS RESEARCH,2019-01-01,240:1-11
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