globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1016/j.jher.2019.03.001
WOS记录号: WOS:000469891600001
论文题名:
Active future rule curves for multi-purpose reservoir operation on the impact of climate and land use changes
作者: Kangrang, Anongrit1; Prasanchum, Haris2; Hormwichian, Rattana1
通讯作者: Kangrang, Anongrit
刊名: JOURNAL OF HYDRO-ENVIRONMENT RESEARCH
ISSN: 1570-6443
EISSN: 1876-4444
出版年: 2019
卷: 24, 页码:1-13
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Land use change ; Streamflow ; Genetic algorithm ; Reservoir rule curves
WOS关键词: RIVER-BASIN ; WATER ; HYDROLOGY ; RUNOFF ; CATCHMENT ; SYSTEM ; SWAT ; VARIABILITY ; SIMULATION ; DYNAMICS
WOS学科分类: Engineering, Civil ; Environmental Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources
英文摘要:

Future optimal rule curves are required for operating reservoir under uncertainty situation. This study applied the genetic algorithm (GA) connected a reservoir simulation model with smoothing function and adjusting of expert participation to search for future optimal reservoir rule curves for the Ubolrat Reservoir, which is located in the Northeast of Thailand, in period 2015-2064. The future optimal rule curves considered the impact of climate change with the PRECIS model under two emission scenarios, A2 and B2, and future land use maps using the CA Markov model. The future streamflow into the reservoir was determined using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. The results showed that the average future streamflow for the A2 and B2 were increased in comparison to the baseline year (1997-2014) due to the increase of average rainfall and temperatures, including widest land use change from rice and forest area to the sugarcane. The smoothing function applied to be the constraint can reduce the fluctuation of the upper and lower obtained rule curves from the GA. Further, the future rule curves can mitigate the frequency of water shortage situations and the releases of excess water during the increasing streamflow impacted by both climate scenarios and land use changes situation more than the existing and historic rule curves. Moreover, adjusted future rule curves with the expert participation were acceptable to operate the reservoir.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/124657
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Mahasarakham Univ, Fac Engn, Kantarawichai 44150, Mahasarakham, Thailand
2.Rajamangala Univ Technol Isan, Fac Engn, Khon Kaen Campus, Khon Kaen 40000, Thailand

Recommended Citation:
Kangrang, Anongrit,Prasanchum, Haris,Hormwichian, Rattana. Active future rule curves for multi-purpose reservoir operation on the impact of climate and land use changes[J]. JOURNAL OF HYDRO-ENVIRONMENT RESEARCH,2019-01-01,24:1-13
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