globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2019.04.010
WOS记录号: WOS:000472699700001
论文题名:
Quantifying household resilience with high frequency data: Temporal dynamics and methodological options
作者: Knippenberg, Erwin1; Jensen, Nathaniel2; Constas, Mark3
通讯作者: Knippenberg, Erwin
刊名: WORLD DEVELOPMENT
ISSN: 0305-750X
出版年: 2019
卷: 121, 页码:1-15
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Resilience ; Food security ; Shocks ; Machine learning ; Africa ; Malawi
WOS关键词: MEASURING FOOD INSECURITY ; LIVELIHOOD RESILIENCE ; NATURAL DISASTERS ; POVERTY TRAPS ; IMPACT ; RISK ; VULNERABILITY ; WEALTH ; INCOME
WOS学科分类: Development Studies ; Economics
WOS研究方向: Development Studies ; Business & Economics
英文摘要:

Resilience as a metric is of growing interest to development researchers and practitioners, particularly for those whose work concerns the effects of climate change, conflict and epidemics. The growing need for resilience measurements motivates this research, measurements that reflect the complex, dynamic features of welfare among populations living in shock-prone contexts. It presents insights from three measurement approaches to explore the dynamic, intra-annual effects of shocks on household well-being, mediated by household characteristics; one based on shock persistence, one based on the stochastic distribution of well-being, and one driven by machine learning algorithms and based on predictive power. The insights gained from the comparison of measurement approaches offer a fuller understanding of the factors driving resilience than any single approach on its own. The paper harnesses a novel data-set from the 'Measuring Indicators for Resilience Analysis' project, which, each month, tracks shocks and food security indicators for one year in a highly food insecure population in Malawi. Across approaches, our study consistently finds that shocks and food insecurity are very persistent, and that households living in the flood plains are more resilient. When focusing on specific shocks such as illness, the gender of the household head matters as-well. A broader search for predictors of food insecurity using LASSO and. Random Forest algorithms uncovers other characteristics that affect resilience, such as the distance to drinking-water. The paper demonstrates how multiple complementary approaches can identify different but overlapping factors related to resilience, painting a fuller, richer picture. It also demonstrates the empirical benefits derived from using high-frequency data sets in the study of resilience. (C) 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/124701
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Cooper Smith, Washington, DC 20006 USA
2.Int Livestock Res Inst, Nairobi, Kenya
3.Cornell Univ, Charles H Dyson Sch Appl Econ & Management, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA

Recommended Citation:
Knippenberg, Erwin,Jensen, Nathaniel,Constas, Mark. Quantifying household resilience with high frequency data: Temporal dynamics and methodological options[J]. WORLD DEVELOPMENT,2019-01-01,121:1-15
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