globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1108/IJCCSM-05-2017-0098
WOS记录号: WOS:000454506700001
论文题名:
Scenario-based hazard analysis of extreme high-temperatures experienced between 1959 and 2014 in Hulunbuir, China
作者: Li, Chunlan1,2; Wang, Jun1,2; Liu, Min3; Ayal, Desalegn Yayeh4; Gong, Qian1,2; Hu, Richa5; Yin, Shan5,6; Bao, Yuhai5,6
通讯作者: Wang, Jun
刊名: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATE CHANGE STRATEGIES AND MANAGEMENT
ISSN: 1756-8692
EISSN: 1756-8706
出版年: 2019
卷: 11, 期:1, 页码:2-17
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Hazard ; Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) ; Extreme high temperature ; Hulunbuir ; Weibull
WOS关键词: CLIMATE EXTREMES ; VARIABILITY ; EVENTS ; TRENDS
WOS学科分类: Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Purpose Extreme high temperatures are a significant feature of global climate change and have become more frequent and intense in recent years. These pose a significant threat to both human health and economic activity, and thus are receiving increasing research attention. Understanding the hazards posed by extreme high temperatures are important for selecting intervention measures targeted at reducing socioeconomic and environmental damage. Design/methodology/approach In this study, detrended fluctuation analysis is used to identify extreme high-temperature events, based on homogenized daily minimum and maximum temperatures from nine meteorological stations in a major grassland region, Hulunbuir, China, over the past 56 years. Findings Compared with the commonly used functions, Weibull distribution has been selected to simulate extreme high-temperature scenarios. It has been found that there was an increasing trend of extreme high temperature, and in addition, the probability of its indices increased significantly, with regional differences. The extreme high temperatures in four return periods exhibited an extreme low hazard in the central region of Hulunbuir, and increased from the center to the periphery. With the increased length of the return period, the area of high hazard and extreme high hazard increased. Topography and anomalous atmospheric circulation patterns may be the main factors influencing the occurrence of extreme high temperatures. Originality/value These results may contribute to a better insight in the hazard of extreme high temperatures, and facilitate the development of appropriate adaptation and mitigation strategies to cope with the adverse effects.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/124785
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.East China Normal Univ, Sch Geog Sci, Shanghai, Peoples R China
2.East China Normal Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab Geog Informat Sci, Shanghai, Peoples R China
3.East China Normal Univ, Sch Ecol & Environm Sci, Key Lab Urban Ecol Proc & Ecorestorat, Shanghai, Peoples R China
4.Addis Ababa Univ, Ctr Food Secur Studies, Coll Dev Studies, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
5.Inner Mongolia Normal Univ, Coll Geog Sci, Hohhot, Peoples R China
6.Inner Mongolia Normal Univ, Key Lab Remote Sensing & Geog Informat Syst, Hohhot, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Li, Chunlan,Wang, Jun,Liu, Min,et al. Scenario-based hazard analysis of extreme high-temperatures experienced between 1959 and 2014 in Hulunbuir, China[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATE CHANGE STRATEGIES AND MANAGEMENT,2019-01-01,11(1):2-17
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