globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s11442-019-1581-6
WOS记录号: WOS:000455152500001
论文题名:
Tracking climate change in Central Asia through temperature and precipitation extremes
作者: Zhang Man1,2; Chen Yaning2; Shen Yanjun3; Li Baofu4
通讯作者: Chen Yaning
刊名: JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
ISSN: 1009-637X
EISSN: 1861-9568
出版年: 2019
卷: 29, 期:1, 页码:3-28
语种: 英语
英文关键词: abrupt change ; atmospheric circulation ; climate change ; climate extremes ; spatial-temporal variability ; Central Asia
WOS关键词: ARID REGION ; NORTHWEST ; TRENDS ; CHINA ; ATTRIBUTION ; IMPACTS ; VARIABILITY ; DYNAMICS ; RAINFALL ; DROUGHTS
WOS学科分类: Geography, Physical
WOS研究方向: Physical Geography
英文摘要:

Under the impacts of climate change and human activities, great uncertainties still exist in the response of climate extremes, especially in Central Asia (CA). In this study, we investigated spatial-temporal variation trends and abrupt changes in 17 indices of climate extremes, based on daily climate observations from 55 meteorological stations in CA during 1957-2005. We also speculated as to which atmospheric circulation factors had the greatest impacts on climate extremes. Our results indicated that the annual mean temperature (Tav), mean maximum and minimum temperature significantly increased at a rate of 0.32oC/10a, 0.24oC/10a and 0.41oC/10a, respectively, which was far higher than the increasing rates either globally or across the Northern Hemisphere. Other temperature extremes showed widespread significant warming trends, especially for those indices derived from daily minimum temperature. All temperature extremes exhibited spatially widespread rising trends. Compared to temperature changes, precipitation extremes showed higher spatial and temporal variabilities. The annual total precipitation significantly increased at a rate of 4.76 mm/10a, and all precipitation extremes showed rising trends except for annual maximum consecutive dry days (CDD), which significantly decreased at a rate of -3.17 days/10a. On the whole, precipitation extremes experienced slight wetter trends in the Tianshan Mountains, Kazakhskiy Melkosopochnik (Hill), the Kyzylkum Desert and most of Xinjiang. The results of Cumulative Deviation showed that Tav and Txav had a significant abrupt change around 1987, and all precipitation indices experienced abrupt changes in 1986. Spearman's correlation analysis pointed to Siberian High and Tibetan Plateau Index_B as possibly being the most important atmospheric circulation factors affecting climate extremes in CA. A full quantitative understanding of these changes is crucial for the management and mitigation of natural hazards in this region.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/124823
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Hebei Normal Univ, Coll Resources & Environm Sci, Shijiazhuang 050024, Hebei, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Agr Resources Res, Key Lab Agr Water Resources, Shijiazhuang 050021, Hebei, Peoples R China
4.Qufu Normal Univ, Coll Geog & Tourism, Rizhao 276826, Shandong, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Zhang Man,Chen Yaning,Shen Yanjun,et al. Tracking climate change in Central Asia through temperature and precipitation extremes[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,2019-01-01,29(1):3-28
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