globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4176-5
WOS记录号: WOS:000460619200057
论文题名:
Northern Hemisphere extratropical winter cyclones variability over the 20th century derived from ERA-20C reanalysis
作者: Varino, Filipa1; Arbogast, Philippe2; Joly, Bruno2; Riviere, Gwendal3; Fandeur, Marie-Laure4; Bovy, Henry4; Granier, Jean-Baptiste4
通讯作者: Varino, Filipa
刊名: CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN: 0930-7575
EISSN: 1432-0894
出版年: 2019
卷: 52, 期:1-2, 页码:1027-1048
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Storm track ; Cyclone tracking ; 20th century ; ERA-20C ; Arctic warming ; Climate change
WOS关键词: STORM TRACK ; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION ; ATLANTIC-OCEAN ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SEA-ICE ; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY ; ARCTIC AMPLIFICATION ; JET-STREAM ; TRENDS ; OSCILLATION
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

The multi-decadal variations of wintertime extra-tropical cyclones during the last century are studied using a vorticity-based tracking algorithm applied to the long-term ERA-20C reanalysis from ECMWF. The variability of moderate-to-deep extra-tropical winter cyclones in ERA-20C show three distinct periods. Two at the beginning and at the end of the century (1900-1935 and 1980-2010) present weak or no significant trends in the Northern Hemisphere as a whole and only some regional trends. The period in between (1935-1980) is marked by a significant increase in Northern Hemisphere moderate-to-deep cyclones frequency. During the latter period, polar regions underwent a significant cooling over the whole troposphere that increased and shifted poleward the mid-latitude meridional temperature gradient and the baroclinicity. This is linked to positive-to-negative shifts of the PDO between 1935 and 1957 and of the AMO between 1957 and 1980 which mainly reinforced the storm-track eddy generation in the North Pacific and North Atlantic regions respectively, as seen from baroclinic conversion from mean to eddy potential energy. As a result, both the North Pacific and North Atlantic extra-tropical storms increase in frequency during the two subperiods (1935-1957 and 1957-1980), together with other storm-track quantities such as the high-frequency eddy kinetic energy. In contrast, the first and third periods are characterized by a warming of the polar temperatures. However, as the stronger warming is confined to the lower troposphere, the baroclinicity do not uniformly increase in the whole troposphere. This may explain why the recent rapid increase in polar temperatures has not affected the behaviour of extratropical cyclones very much. Finally, the large magnitude of the positive trend found in moderate-to-deep cyclone frequency during the second period is still questioned as the period is marked by an important increase in the number of assimilated observations. However, the dynamical link between changes in cyclone frequency, changes in large-scale baroclinicity and ocean decadal variability found in the present study makes us confident on the sign of the detected cyclone trend.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/125048
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Meteo France, CNRS, CNRM, UMR 3589, Toulouse, France
2.Meteo France, CNRM, UMR 3589, Toulouse, France
3.UPMC Univ Paris 06, Sorbonne Univ, Univ Paris Saclay,CNRS, PSL Res Univ,Dept Geosci,LMD IPSL,ENS,Ecole Polyt, Paris, France
4.SCOR, Paris, France

Recommended Citation:
Varino, Filipa,Arbogast, Philippe,Joly, Bruno,et al. Northern Hemisphere extratropical winter cyclones variability over the 20th century derived from ERA-20C reanalysis[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2019-01-01,52(1-2):1027-1048
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