globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-018-2388-6
WOS记录号: WOS:000459226500042
论文题名:
Spatiotemporal characterization of current and future droughts in the High Atlas basins (Morocco)
作者: Zkhiri, Wiam1; Tramblay, Yves2; Hanich, Lahoucine1; Jarlan, Lionel3; Ruelland, Denis2
通讯作者: Zkhiri, Wiam
刊名: THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN: 0177-798X
EISSN: 1434-4483
出版年: 2019
卷: 135, 期:1-2, 页码:593-605
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION INDEX ; CLIMATE-CHANGE PROJECTIONS ; RAINFALL ; MODEL ; NDVI ; INTERPOLATION ; MANAGEMENT ; IMPACTS ; EVENTS ; WATER
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Over the past decades, drought has become a major concern in Morocco due to the importance of agriculture in the economy of the country. In the present work, the standardized precipitation index (SPI) is used to monitor the evolution, frequency, and severity of droughts in the High Atlas basins (N'Fis, Ourika, Rheraya, Zat, and R'dat), located south of Marrakech city. The spatiotemporal characterization of drought in these basins is performed by computing the SPI with precipitation spatially interpolated over the catchments. The Haouz plain, located downstream of these basins, is strongly dependent on water provided by the mountain ranges, as shown by the positive correlations between the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) in the plain and the 3, 6, and 12-month SPI in the High Atlas catchments. On the opposite, no significant correlations are found with piezometric levels of the Haouz groundwater due to intensified pumping for irrigation in the recent decades. A relative SPI index was computed to evaluate the climate change impacts on drought occurrence, based on the projected precipitation (2006-2100) from five high-resolution CORDEX regional climate simulations, under two emission scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5). These models show a decrease in precipitation towards the future up to -65% compared to the historical period. In terms of drought events, the future projections indicate a strong increase in the frequency of SPI events below -2, considered as severe drought condition.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/125088
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Univ Cadi Ayyad, Fac Sci & Tech, Lab Georessources, Marrakech, Morocco
2.Univ Montpellier, HSM, CNRS, IRD, Montpellier, France
3.UPS, CNES, CNRS, CESBIO,IRD, Toulouse, France

Recommended Citation:
Zkhiri, Wiam,Tramblay, Yves,Hanich, Lahoucine,et al. Spatiotemporal characterization of current and future droughts in the High Atlas basins (Morocco)[J]. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,2019-01-01,135(1-2):593-605
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