globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-018-2616-0
WOS记录号: WOS:000475737500039
论文题名:
Evaluation of CMIP5 models for west and southwest Iran using TOPSIS-based method
作者: Zamani, Reza1; Berndtsson, Ronny2,3
通讯作者: Zamani, Reza
刊名: THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN: 0177-798X
EISSN: 1434-4483
出版年: 2019
卷: 137, 期:1-2, 页码:533-543
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: GLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL ; DAILY MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE ; SYSTEM MODEL ; PRECIPITATION ; PERFORMANCE ; SIMULATION ; CIRCULATION ; WELL
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

GCMs (general circulation models) are main tools for generating climate projections for climate change research in hydrology and water resources. Accordingly, evaluating the performance of these models in simulating future climate is very important for choice of proper models. In this study, performance of 20 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) model series was assessed using a technique for order performance by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS)-based approach together with normalized root mean square error (NRMSE), the Taylor skill score (S-Taylor), and two probability density function (PDF) skill scores. Precipitation and temperature data during 1976 to 2005 from three river basins including Zard River (ZR), Bakhtegan (BKH), and Ghareso (GH) in west and southwest Iran were used to select the best model. In general, models showed superiority in simulating temperature over precipitation. Based on the GCM ranking results for the ZR Basin, MIROC-ESM and IPSL-CM5A-LR were selected as the best and the weakest model, respectively. For the BKH Basin, the best model was BCC-CSM1.1 and the weakest IPSL-CM5A-MR and CCSM4. In other words, BCC-CSM1.1 had the maximum relative closeness to ideal solution. Based on the TOPSIS results, BCC-CSM1.1 and CanESM2 were the best models and IPSL-CM5A-MR the weakest model with a minimum relative closeness to the ideal solution in simulating temperature and precipitation for the GH basin. The approach presented in this study can be utilized to select appropriate climate models in other regions for future studies of climate change.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/125192
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Shahrekord Univ, Water Resources Res Ctr, Shahrekord, Iran
2.Lund Univ, Div Water Resources Engn, Box 118, SE-22100 Lund, Sweden
3.Lund Univ, Ctr Middle Eastern Studies, Box 118, SE-22100 Lund, Sweden

Recommended Citation:
Zamani, Reza,Berndtsson, Ronny. Evaluation of CMIP5 models for west and southwest Iran using TOPSIS-based method[J]. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,2019-01-01,137(1-2):533-543
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