globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-018-2456-y
WOS记录号: WOS:000464905800045
论文题名:
Performance of the general circulation models in simulating temperature and precipitation over Iran
作者: Abbasian, Mohammadsadegh1; Moghim, Sanaz1,2; Abrishamchi, Ahmad1,2
通讯作者: Moghim, Sanaz
刊名: THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN: 0177-798X
EISSN: 1434-4483
出版年: 2019
卷: 135, 期:3-4, 页码:1465-1483
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE IMPACTS ; CMIP5 ; ENSEMBLE ; PROJECTION ; EXTREMES ; SKILL ; WELL
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

General Circulation Models (GCMs) are advanced tools for impact assessment and climate change studies. Previous studies show that the performance of the GCMs in simulating climate variables varies significantly over different regions. This study intends to evaluate the performance of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) GCMs in simulating temperature and precipitation over Iran. Simulations from 37 GCMs and observations from the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) were obtained for the period of 1901-2005. Six measures of performance including mean bias, root mean square error (RMSE), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), linear correlation coefficient (r), Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic (KS), Sen's slope estimator, and the Taylor diagram are used for the evaluation. GCMs are ranked based on each statistic at seasonal and annual time scales. Results show that most GCMs perform reasonably well in simulating the annual and seasonal temperature over Iran. The majority of the GCMs have a poor skill to simulate precipitation, particularly at seasonal scale. Based on the results, the best GCMs to represent temperature and precipitation simulations over Iran are the CMCC-CMS (Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change) and the MRI-CGCM3 (Meteorological Research Institute), respectively. The results are valuable for climate and hydrometeorological studies and can help water resources planners and managers to choose the proper GCM based on their criteria.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/125320
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Sharif Univ Technol, Dept Civil Engn, Azadi Ave, Tehran, Iran
2.Sharif Univ Technol, UNESCO Chair Water & Environm Management Sustaina, Azadi Ave, Tehran, Iran

Recommended Citation:
Abbasian, Mohammadsadegh,Moghim, Sanaz,Abrishamchi, Ahmad. Performance of the general circulation models in simulating temperature and precipitation over Iran[J]. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,2019-01-01,135(3-4):1465-1483
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