globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04860-8
WOS记录号: WOS:000475558800066
论文题名:
Drylands climate response to transient and stabilized 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C global warming targets
作者: Wei, Yun1; Yu, Haipeng1,2; Huang, Jianping1; Zhou, Tianjun3,4; Zhang, Meng1; Ren, Yu1
通讯作者: Yu, Haipeng
刊名: CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN: 0930-7575
EISSN: 1432-0894
出版年: 2019
卷: 53, 期:3-4, 页码:2375-2389
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Drylands climate change ; Transient and stabilized warming world ; 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C warming target ; The Paris Agreement
WOS关键词: 1.5 DEGREES-C ; NORTHERN-HEMISPHERE CONTINENTS ; POTENTIAL EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; EXTREME PRECIPITATION ; TERRESTRIAL ARIDITY ; HADLEY CIRCULATION ; DROUGHT ; TEMPERATURE ; IMPACTS ; CO2
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Drylands are one of the most sensitive areas to climate change. Many previous studies assessed the impact of 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C warming targets using transient warming scenarios by representative concentration pathways of CMIP5. Here we compared the climate changes over global drylands in transient and stabilized 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C warmer worlds using Community Earth System Model simulations. The projections indicate a warming of 2.3 degrees C (1.6 degrees C) over drylands could occur in a stabilized 2 degrees C (1.5 degrees C) warmer world by the end of this century. The warming in drier regions is higher and the hyper-arid areas would experience warming of 2.4 degrees C (1.8 degrees C). Comparing the 2 degrees C to 1.5 degrees C warming targets, the additional 0.5 degrees C warming will lead to similar to 1.0 degrees C warming in drylands of Eurasia and North America. Responding to the 2 degrees C warming, the increased precipitation (21.8-42.6mm/year) is not enough to offset the increased PET (88.3-101.7mm/year) over drylands, resulting in the drylands expansion, and the additional 0.5 degrees C global warming will aggravate the drought in drylands in southern North America and North Africa. Compared to the stabilized 2 degrees C warming target, controlling the global warming to within 1.5 degrees C will reduce the warming in drylands by 0.7 degrees C, and reduce the drylands expansion relative to 1961-1990 by similar to 44%. Compared to the stabilized warming scenarios, the temperature response and drylands area coverage increase are higher in the transient warming scenarios, but the difference of temperature caused by additional 0.5 degrees C global warming and the precipitation increase in drylands are lower.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/125379
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Lanzhou Univ, Minist Educ, Coll Atmospher Sci, Key Lab Semiarid Climate Change, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China
2.China Meteorol Adm, Inst Arid Meteorol, Key Open Lab Arid Climate Change & Disaster Reduc, Key Lab Arid Climate Change & Reducing Disaster G, Lanzhou 730020, Gansu, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geop, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Earth Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Wei, Yun,Yu, Haipeng,Huang, Jianping,et al. Drylands climate response to transient and stabilized 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C global warming targets[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2019-01-01,53(3-4):2375-2389
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