DROUGHT SEVERITY INDEX
; WEATHER
; EQUILIBRIUM
; RETURNS
WOS学科分类:
Economics
; Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications
; Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods
WOS研究方向:
Business & Economics
; Mathematics
; Mathematical Methods In Social Sciences
英文摘要:
Climate science finds that the trend towards higher global temperatures exacerbates the risks of droughts. We investigate whether the prices of food stocks efficiently discount these risks. Using data from thirty-one countries with publicly-traded food companies, we rank these countries each year based on their long-term trends toward droughts using the Palmer Drought Severity Index. A poor trend ranking for a country forecasts relatively poor profit growth for food companies in that country. It also forecasts relatively poor food stock returns in that country. This return predictability is consistent with food stock prices underreacting to climate change risks. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
1.Columbia Univ, New York, NY 10027 USA 2.NBER, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA 3.Singapore Management Univ, Singapore, Singapore 4.Peking Univ, Guanghua Sch Management, Beijing, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation:
Hong, Harrison,Li, Frank Weikai,Xu, Jiangmin. Climate risks and market efficiency[J]. JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS,2019-01-01,208(1):265-281