SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS
; IUCN RED LIST
; CLIMATE-CHANGE
; CONSERVATION PRIORITIES
; GLOBAL BIODIVERSITY
; ECOSYSTEM SERVICES
; EXTINCTION RISK
; SAMPLING BIAS
; NICHE SHIFT
; PREDICTIONS
WOS学科分类:
Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向:
Science & Technology - Other Topics
英文摘要:
Demand for models in biodiversity assessments is rising, but which models are adequate for the task? We propose a set of best-practice standards and detailed guidelines enabling scoring of studies based on species distribution models for use in biodiversity assessments. We reviewed and scored 400 modeling studies over the past 20 years using the proposed standards and guidelines. We detected low model adequacy overall, but with a marked tendency of improvement over time in model building and, to a lesser degree, in biological data and model evaluation. We argue that implementation of agreed-upon standards for models in biodiversity assessments would promote transparency and repeatability, eventually leading to higher quality of the models and the inferences used in assessments. We encourage broad community participation toward the expansion and ongoing development of the proposed standards and guidelines.
1.Spanish Natl Res Council, CSIC, Natl Museum Nat Sci, Madrid 28006, Spain 2.Univ Copenhagen, Ctr Macroecol Evolut & Climate, Nat Hist Museum Denmark, DK-2100 Copenhagen, Denmark 3.Univ Evora, Rui Nabeiro Biodivers Chair, P-7000 Evora, Portugal 4.CUNY City Coll, Dept Biol, 138Th St & Convent Ave, New York, NY 10031 USA 5.CUNY, Grad Ctr, Program Biol, New York, NY 10016 USA 6.Amer Museum Nat Hist, Div Vertebrate Zool, New York, NY 10024 USA 7.Univ York, Dept Biol, York YO19 5PR, N Yorkshire, England 8.Univ Freiburg, Biometry & Environm Syst Anal, D-79106 Freiburg, Germany 9.Univ Exeter, Ctr Ecol & Conservat, Penryn TR10 9FE, Cornwall, England 10.Stellenbosch Univ, Dept Bot & Zool, Ctr Invas Biol, ZA-7602 Matieland, South Africa 11.Univ Cape Town, Ctr Stat Ecol Environm & Conservat SEEC, ZA-7701 Cape Town, South Africa 12.Univ Lausanne, Dept Ecol & Evolut, Lausanne, Switzerland 13.Univ Lausanne, Inst Earth Surface Dynam, Lausanne, Switzerland 14.Univ Roma La Sapienza, Dept Biol & Biotechnol Charles Darwin, Rome, Italy 15.Stn Zool Anton Dohrn, Dept Integrat Marine Ecol, Naples, Italy 16.Senckenberg Biodivers & Climate Res Ctr, Senckenberganlage 25, D-60325 Frankfurt, Germany 17.NTNU, Dept Math Sci, N-7491 Trondheim, Norway 18.NTNU, Ctr Biodivers Dynam, N-7491 Trondheim, Norway 19.Swiss Fed Res Inst WSL, Landscape Dynam, Birmensdorf, Switzerland 20.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Environm Syst Sci, Zurich, Switzerland 21.Imperial Coll London, Dept Life Sci, Silwood Pk, Ascot SL5 7PY, Berks, England
Recommended Citation:
Araujo, Miguel B.,Anderson, Robert P.,Marcia Barbosa, A.,et al. Standards for distribution models in biodiversity assessments[J]. SCIENCE ADVANCES,2019-01-01,5(1)