globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.11.012
WOS记录号: WOS:000458468400010
论文题名:
Integrated assessment of biomass supply and demand in climate change mitigation scenarios
作者: Daioglou, Vassilis1,2; Doelman, Jonathan C.1; Wicke, Birka2; Faaij, Andre3; van Vuuren, Detlef P.1,2
通讯作者: Daioglou, Vassilis
刊名: GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
ISSN: 0959-3780
EISSN: 1872-9495
出版年: 2019
卷: 54, 页码:88-101
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Bioenergy ; Scenario analysis ; Climate policy ; Land use ; Energy system ; Biochemicals
WOS关键词: LAND-USE CHANGE ; TRANSPORTATION NETWORK ; ETHANOL DISTILLERIES ; CARBON CAPTURE ; CO2 CAPTURE ; ENERGY ; EMISSIONS ; BIOENERGY ; BIOFUELS ; STORAGE
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Geography
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geography
英文摘要:

Biomass is often seen as a key component of future energy systems as it can be used for heat and electricity production, as a transport fuel, and a feedstock for chemicals. Furthermore, it can be used in combination with carbon capture and storage to provide so-called "negative emissions". At the same time, however, its production will require land, possibly impacting food security, land-based carbon stocks, and other environmental services. Thus, the strategies adopted in the supply, conversion, and use of biomass have a significant impact on its effectiveness as a climate change mitigation measure. We use the IMAGE 3.0 integrated assessment model to project three different global, long term scenarios spanning different socioeconomic futures with varying rates of population growth, economic growth, and technological change, and investigate the role of biomass in meeting strict climate targets. Using these scenarios we highlight different possibilities for biomass supply and demand, and provide insights on the requirements and challenges for the effective use of this resource as a climate change mitigation measure. The results show that in scenarios meeting the 1.5 degrees C target, biomass could exceed 20% of final energy consumption, or 115-180 EJ(Prim)/yr in 2050. Such a supply of bioenergy can only be achieved without extreme levels land use change if agricultural yields improve significantly and effective land zoning is implemented. Furthermore, the results highlight that strict mitigation targets are contingent on the availability of advanced technologies such as lignocellulosic fuels and carbon capture and storage.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/125809
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.PBL Netherlands Environm Assessment Agcy, POB 30314, NL-2500 GH The Hague, Netherlands
2.Univ Utrecht, Copernicus Inst Sustainable Dev, Princetonlaan 8a, NL-3584 CB Utrecht, Netherlands
3.Univ Groningen, ESRIG, Blauwborgie 6,POB 221, NL-9700 AE Groningen, Netherlands

Recommended Citation:
Daioglou, Vassilis,Doelman, Jonathan C.,Wicke, Birka,et al. Integrated assessment of biomass supply and demand in climate change mitigation scenarios[J]. GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS,2019-01-01,54:88-101
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