globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1093/ajae/aay051
WOS记录号: WOS:000480790800012
论文题名:
TWO HARVESTS ARE BETTER THAN ONE: DOUBLE CROPPING AS A STRATEGY FOR CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
作者: Kawasaki, Kentaro
通讯作者: Kawasaki, Kentaro
刊名: AMERICAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
ISSN: 0002-9092
EISSN: 1467-8276
出版年: 2019
卷: 101, 期:1, 页码:172-192
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; fractional response ; growing season ; multiple cropping system ; quality
WOS关键词: SEEDLING EMERGENCE ; HYDROTHERMAL TIME ; HIGH-TEMPERATURE ; RESPONSE MODELS ; SOIL-EROSION ; IMPACTS ; WHEAT ; RICE ; YIELD ; FIELD
WOS学科分类: Agricultural Economics & Policy ; Economics
WOS研究方向: Agriculture ; Business & Economics
英文摘要:

Adaptation of agriculture to climate change is essential for reducing its negative impacts. This article evaluates the feasibility of double cropping, which has received relatively little consideration yet holds potential as an adaptation strategy. To assess its feasibility, growing seasons and economic profitability as calculated from crop yield and quality are considered. Accordingly, methods are developed for quantifying the determinants of crop yield and quality grade in a simultaneous equation system that directly expresses the ordered and fractional nature of grade shares. An empirical application to rice and wheat production in Japan reveals that, without any adaptation strategy, climate change will decrease revenues of both crops due to the reduction in yield and quality. Adjusting planting dates helps to avoid such negative impacts for rice but not enough for wheat in southern Japan. However, climate change provides an opportunity for another adaptation strategy-double cropping. Warmer climates enable many regions to shift from a single cropping system to a rice-wheat double cropping system by shortening the length of the wheat growing season and by delaying the optimal timing of rice planting. As a consequence, the area suitable for double cropping is nearly tripled, suggesting a strong potential to offset climate-induced production and profit losses.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/126021
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作者单位: Minist Agr Forestry & Fisheries PRIMAFF, Policy Res Inst, Tokyo, Japan

Recommended Citation:
Kawasaki, Kentaro. TWO HARVESTS ARE BETTER THAN ONE: DOUBLE CROPPING AS A STRATEGY FOR CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION[J]. AMERICAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS,2019-01-01,101(1):172-192
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