globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1163/15685381-20181070
WOS记录号: WOS:000485197300004
论文题名:
Predicting spatial and temporal effects of climate change on the South American lizard genus Teius (Squamata: Teiidae)
作者: Minoli, Ignacio1; Cacciali, Pier2,3,4; Morando, Mariana1; Javier Avila, Luciano1
通讯作者: Minoli, Ignacio
刊名: AMPHIBIA-REPTILIA
ISSN: 0173-5373
EISSN: 1568-5381
出版年: 2019
卷: 40, 期:3, 页码:313-326
语种: 英语
英文关键词: 2050 scenario ; climate ; Mid-Holocene ; niche modeling ; present ; reptiles
WOS关键词: SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; ECOLOGICAL NICHE MODELS ; ENVIRONMENTAL NICHE ; CHANGE SCENARIOS ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; AREAS ; FUTURE ; PHYLOGEOGRAPHY ; IMPACTS ; VULNERABILITY
WOS学科分类: Zoology
WOS研究方向: Zoology
英文摘要:

The consequences of past or future climate change have been studied in many physical and biological systems, and their effects could change the ecology and spatial distribution of suitable areas for a wide variety of organisms. We analyzed the environmental and geographic space of the current suitable area projecting these conditions into Mid-Holocene and 2050 RCP8.5 scenarios to quantify whether climate change would affect the distribution and size of environmental and geographic space for lizard species of the genus Teius. The potentially suitable geographic area for the Mid-Holocene was found to be smaller than today for T. oculatus (-29.55%) and for T. teyou (-6.82%), but for T. suquiensis it was inferred as a larger suitable area (+26%). For the future scenario all species showed a decrease in the potentially suitable area compared to the present (T. oculatus = -9.30%, T. teyou = -0.79%, T. suquiensis = -37.58%). The PCA axes that in the environmental space showed a higher contribution for PC1-2 in Mid-Holocene and Present were mostly related to temperature and for PC3 with altitude variables, for the 2050 scenario were temperature for PC1, precipitation for PC2 and altitude-temperature for PC3. The current Teius' potentially suitable geographic space results versus the other temporal forecasts, showed specific differences in magnitude changes. This work illustrates how ectothermic organisms might have to face major changes in their environmental and geographic space as a consequence of the effect of climate changes.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/126303
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Consejo Nacl Invest Cient & Tecn, IPEEC, Blvd Almirante Brown 2915, Puerto Madryn, Chubut, Argentina
2.Senckenberg Forschungsinst & Nat Museum, Senckenberganlage 25, D-60325 Frankfurt, Germany
3.Inst Invest Biol Paraguay, Escudo 1607, Asuncion 1425, Paraguay
4.Asociacion Guyra Paraguay, Ave Cnel Carlos Boveda,Parque Asuncion Verde, Vinas Cue, Paraguay

Recommended Citation:
Minoli, Ignacio,Cacciali, Pier,Morando, Mariana,et al. Predicting spatial and temporal effects of climate change on the South American lizard genus Teius (Squamata: Teiidae)[J]. AMPHIBIA-REPTILIA,2019-01-01,40(3):313-326
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