globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1108/ARLA-06-2017-0199
WOS记录号: WOS:000484332400008
论文题名:
Does extreme rainfall lead to heavy losses in the food industry?
作者: Lucas, Edimilson Costa1; Mendes-Da-Silva, Wesley2; Araujo, Gustavo Silva3,4
通讯作者: Mendes-Da-Silva, Wesley
刊名: ACADEMIA-REVISTA LATINOAMERICANA DE ADMINISTRACION
ISSN: 1012-8255
EISSN: 2056-5127
出版年: 2019
卷: 32, 期:2, 页码:244-266
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Extreme events ; Weather ; Extreme value theory ; Food industry ; Stock prices ; Eventos Extremos ; Clima ; Teoria de Valores Extremos ; Industria de Alimentos ; Preco de Acoes ; G1 ; G3 ; Q1 ; Q5
WOS关键词: VALUE-AT-RISK ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; STOCK-MARKET ; THRESHOLD ESTIMATION ; MULTIVARIATE MODELS ; EXPECTED SHORTFALL ; FINANCIAL-MARKETS ; WEATHER ; RETURNS ; IMPACTS
WOS学科分类: Business ; Management
WOS研究方向: Business & Economics
英文摘要:

Purpose Managing the risks associated to world food production is an important challenge for governments. A range of factors, among them extreme weather events, has threatened food production in recent years. The purpose of this paper is to analyse the impact of extreme rainfall events on the food industry in Brazil, a prominent player in this industry. Design/methodology/approach The authors use the AR-GARCH-GPD hybrid methodology to identify whether extreme rainfall affects the stock price of food companies. To do so, the authors collected the daily closing price of the 16 food industry companies listed on the Brazilian stock exchange (B3), in January 2015. Findings The results indicate that these events have a significant impact on stock returns: on more than half of the days immediately following the heavy rain that fell between 28 February 2005 and 30 December 2014, returns were significantly low, leading to average daily losses of 1.97 per cent. These results point to the relevance of the need for instruments to hedge against weather risk, particularly in the food industry. Originality/value Given that extreme weather events have been occurring more and more frequently, financial literature has documented attempts at assessing the economic impacts of weather changes. There is little research, however, into assessing the impacts of these events at corporate level.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/126313
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Univ Fed Sao Paulo, EPPEN, Osasco, Brazil
2.Sao Paulo Sch Business Adm, Fundacao Getulio Vargas, Sao Paulo, Brazil
3.Cent Bank Brazil, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil
4.Ibmec, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil

Recommended Citation:
Lucas, Edimilson Costa,Mendes-Da-Silva, Wesley,Araujo, Gustavo Silva. Does extreme rainfall lead to heavy losses in the food industry?[J]. ACADEMIA-REVISTA LATINOAMERICANA DE ADMINISTRACION,2019-01-01,32(2):244-266
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