globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1002/joc.5777
WOS记录号: WOS:000459638400002
论文题名:
Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in Ethiopia, Kenya, and Tanzania
作者: Gebrechorkos, Solomon H.1,2; Huelsmann, Stephan1; Bernhofer, Christian2
通讯作者: Gebrechorkos, Solomon H.
刊名: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN: 0899-8418
EISSN: 1097-0088
出版年: 2019
卷: 39, 期:1, 页码:18-30
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate ; East Africa ; ETCCDI ; extremes ; precipitation ; temperature ; trend
WOS关键词: SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; GREATER HORN ; RAINFALL VARIABILITY ; MONITORING CHANGES ; WATER-RESOURCES ; EAST-AFRICA ; TRENDS ; INDEXES ; DATASET
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

East Africa is one of the most vulnerable regions of Africa to extreme weather and climate events. Regional and local information on climate extremes is critical for monitoring and managing the impacts and developing sustainable adaptation measures. However, this type of information is not readily available at the necessary spatial resolution. Therefore, here we test trends and variability of temperature (1979-2010) and precipitation (1981-2016) extremes in East Africa, particularly Ethiopia, Kenya, and Tanzania, at a spatial resolution of 0.1 and 0.05 degrees, respectively, using the indices defined by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI). We use gridded data sets with high accuracy and resolution from the Terrestrial Hydrology Research Group, University of Princeton and Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS). Trends of 19 indices are computed by fitting a linear model and using the nonparametric Mann-Kendall test and the magnitude of change is computed using the Sen's slope method. The results show an increasing trend in monthly maximum and minimum values of daily maximum and minimum temperature in large parts of the region. This is accompanied by significant increasing trends in warm nights (TN90p), warm days (TX90p), warm spell duration index (WSDI), and summer days index (SU). In addition, cold days (TX10p) and cold nights (TN10p) showed a significant decreasing trend. In general, the results show an increasing tendency in temperatures extremes, which is in line with rising global mean temperature. In addition, most of the temperature extremes observed after 2000 are warmer than the long-term mean (1979-2010). Precipitation indices, on the other hand, showed increasing and decreasing trends in Ethiopia, Kenya, and Tanzania, but no general pattern. The outcomes enable identifying hot spot areas and planning of adaptation and mitigation measures at much finer spatial scale than previously possible.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/126478
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.United Nations Univ Inst Integrated Management Ma, D-01067 Dresden, Germany
2.Tech Univ Dresden, Inst Hydrol & Meteorol, Fac Environm Sci, Dresden, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Gebrechorkos, Solomon H.,Huelsmann, Stephan,Bernhofer, Christian. Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in Ethiopia, Kenya, and Tanzania[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2019-01-01,39(1):18-30
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