globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.3354/cr01558
WOS记录号: WOS:000482743600001
论文题名:
Multi-index drought characteristics in Songhua River basin, Northeast China
作者: Faiz, Muhammad Abrar1; Liu, Dong2,3,4; Fu, Qiang1; Baig, Faisal5; Tahir, Adnan Ahmad6; Li, Mo1; Khan, Muhammad Imran7; Shoaib, Muhammad5; Li, Tianxiao1; Cui, Song1
通讯作者: Liu, Dong
刊名: CLIMATE RESEARCH
ISSN: 0936-577X
EISSN: 1616-1572
出版年: 2019
卷: 78, 期:1, 页码:1-+
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Drought ; General circulation models ; GCMs ; Reconnaissance Drought Index ; RDI ; Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index ; SPEI ; Supply Demand Drought Index ; SDDI ; Representative concentration pathway ; RCP
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; EXTREME PRECIPITATION ; IMPACT ASSESSMENT ; INDEX ; SEVERITY ; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; VARIABILITY ; EVENTS ; TRENDS ; UNCERTAINTY
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Due to global warming, Northeast China has been affected by droughts in recent decades, potentially leading to disastrous effects during the 21st century. Knowledge of drought characteristics, such as drought duration and severity, is very important to be able to mitigate natural hazards and manage water resources. Here, drought characteristics were assessed based on multiple meteorological drought indices (Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, Supply Demand Drought Index, and Reconnaissance Drought Index) that are calculated using potential evapotranspiration (Thornthwaite equation) or reference evapotranspiration. Furthermore, a combination of general circulation models and drought indices was used to examine drought characteristics (duration, severity and intensity) and climate variables that possibly influence droughts for the periods 1961-2005 and 2006-2099. Different indices based on the Thornth-waite equation capture the same events but with varying magnitudes. Likewise, the reformulated drought indices based on reference evapotranspiration capture fewer drought years compared with temperature-based indices. In future projections of drought events, all indices show the highest drought occurrence under representative concentration pathway (RCP) 8.5 compared with other RCPs. The Harbin, Tonghe, Suihua, Jiamusi, and Mudanjiang stations experience a maximum of drought episodes in the late stage of the model calculations (2060-2099). Moreover, in the early and middle stages (2006-2030 and 2031-2060, respectively), the indices show fewer drought occurrences over the region compared with the late stage. The evaluation of potential contributors and climate-controlling factors suggests that temperature is a key climate factor that potentially contributes to drought behavior. Overall, the results imply that under future climate conditions, the risk of drought in Northeast China may increase at the end of the 21st century.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/126480
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Northeast Agr Univ, Sch Water Conservancy & Civil Engn, Harbin 150030, Heilongjiang, Peoples R China
2.Northeast Agr Univ, Minist Agr, Key Lab Effect Utilizat Agr Water Resources, Harbin 150030, Heilongjiang, Peoples R China
3.Northeast Agr Univ, Heilongjiang Prov Collaborat Innovat Ctr Grain Pr, Harbin 150030, Heilongjiang, Peoples R China
4.Northeast Agr Univ, Key Lab Water Saving Agr, Ordinary Univ Heilongjiang Prov, Harbin 150030, Heilongjiang, Peoples R China
5.Bahauddin Zakariya Univ, Dept Agr Engn, Multan 66000, Pakistan
6.COMSATS Inst Informat Technol, Dept Environm Sci, Abbottabad 22060, Pakistan
7.Univ Agr Faisalabad, Fac Agr Engn, Dept Irrigat & Drainage, Faisalabad 38000, Pakistan

Recommended Citation:
Faiz, Muhammad Abrar,Liu, Dong,Fu, Qiang,et al. Multi-index drought characteristics in Songhua River basin, Northeast China[J]. CLIMATE RESEARCH,2019-01-01,78(1):1-+
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