globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.28974/idojaras.2019.1.7
WOS记录号: WOS:000461718700007
论文题名:
Predicting future shift of drought tolerance zones of ornamental plants in Hungary
作者: Bede-Fazekas, Akos1,2; Szabo, Krisztina3
通讯作者: Bede-Fazekas, Akos
刊名: IDOJARAS
ISSN: 0324-6329
出版年: 2019
卷: 123, 期:1, 页码:107-126
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change ; drought tolerance ; dendrology ; predictive ecological model
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; ADAPTATION
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Climate of Hungary, Central Europe, is predicted to undergo substantial aridification by 2100 due to the decrease of precipitation in the summer season. Dendrology and ornamental plant application require adaptation to these climatic changes. This paper aims at giving guidance for landscape architects, dendrologist, and horticulturists by providing spatial predictions on both drought tolerance zones of ornamental plants and the amount of needed irrigation (i.e., precipitation deficit). Future climate of two prediction periods (2025-2050, 2071-2100) are compared to that of the reference period (1961 1990), based on regional climate model RegCM3 driven by IPCC SRES scenario A1B. Three drought tolerance zones are studied that are found to shift northward in the future. It is predicted that, by the end of the 21st century, the less drought tolerant ornamental plants applied countrywide nowadays will lose the chance to survive without considerable irrigation efforts in Baranya, Bks-Kiskun, and Csongrad counties (southern Hungary). Since nursery production is now located in those regions that may be mostly affected by aridification, it needs planning adaptation measures.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/126715
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.MTA Ctr Ecol Res, Inst Ecol & Bot, Alkomany U 2-4, H-2163 Vacratot, Hungary
2.MTA Ctr Ecol Res, GINOP Sustainable Ecosyst Grp, Klebelsberg Kuno U 3, H-8237 Tihany, Hungary
3.Szent Istvan Univ, Fac Landrcape Architecture & Urbanism, Villanyi Ut 29-43, H-1118 Budapest, Hungary

Recommended Citation:
Bede-Fazekas, Akos,Szabo, Krisztina. Predicting future shift of drought tolerance zones of ornamental plants in Hungary[J]. IDOJARAS,2019-01-01,123(1):107-126
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