globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.17221/151/2018-AGRICECON
WOS记录号: WOS:000459805500003
论文题名:
Do natural rubber price bubbles occur?
作者: Su, Chi-Wei1; Liu, Lu2; Tao, Ran3; Lobont, Oana-Ramona4
通讯作者: Liu, Lu
刊名: AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS-ZEMEDELSKA EKONOMIKA
ISSN: 0139-570X
EISSN: 1805-9295
出版年: 2019
卷: 65, 期:2, 页码:67-73
语种: 英语
英文关键词: bubbles ; Generalized Supremum Augmented Dickey-Fuller test (GSADF) ; natural rubber price
WOS学科分类: Agricultural Economics & Policy ; Economics
WOS研究方向: Agriculture ; Business & Economics
英文摘要:

In this paper, we employ the Generalized Supremum Augmented Dickey-Fuller test in order to identify the existence of multiple bubbles in natural rubber. This approach is practical for the using of time series and identifies the beginning and end points of multiple bubbles. The results reveal that there are five bubbles, where exist the divergences between natural rubber prices and their basic values on account of market fundamentals. The five bubbles are related to imbalance between supply and demand, inefficiencies of smallholders market, oil prices, exchange rate and climatic changes through analyses. Thus, the corresponding authorities are supposed to identify bubbles and consider their evolutions, which is beneficial to the stability of natural rubber price.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/126799
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Qingdao Univ, Sch Econ, Qingdao, Peoples R China
2.Ocean Univ China, Dept Finance, Qingdao, Peoples R China
3.Qingdao Municipal Ctr Dis Control & Preventat, Technol Ctr, Qingdao, Peoples R China
4.West Univ Timisoara, Dept Finance, Timisoara, Romania

Recommended Citation:
Su, Chi-Wei,Liu, Lu,Tao, Ran,et al. Do natural rubber price bubbles occur?[J]. AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS-ZEMEDELSKA EKONOMIKA,2019-01-01,65(2):67-73
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