globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s10640-018-0259-3
WOS记录号: WOS:000456422600007
论文题名:
On the Relationship Between GHGs and Global Temperature Anomalies: Multi-level Rolling Analysis and Copula Calibration
作者: Agliardi, Elettra1; Alexopoulos, Thomas2; Cech, Christian3
通讯作者: Alexopoulos, Thomas
刊名: ENVIRONMENTAL & RESOURCE ECONOMICS
ISSN: 0924-6460
EISSN: 1573-1502
出版年: 2019
卷: 72, 期:1, 页码:109-133
语种: 英语
英文关键词: GHGs ; Global temperature anomalies ; Rolling analysis ; Copulas
WOS关键词: CLIMATE ; CO2 ; STABILIZATION ; VARIABILITY ; UNCERTAINTY ; MITIGATION ; EMISSIONS ; SCENARIOS
WOS学科分类: Economics ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向: Business & Economics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

The relationship between GHG emissions and global warming is studied through multi-level rolling analysis to assess whether or not there are increasing rates in global climate change as a result of higher levels of anthropogenic emissions, as we move forward in time. Furthermore, in order to assess whether we observe tail dependence, representing simultaneous occurrence of extreme events, we employ copula methods. Our main findings suggest a constant effect of emissions on temperature anomalies especially in the last decades. On the other hand we observe positive upper tail dependence in our copula analyses. This implies a comparably high probability of joint extreme large values (i.e., high temperatures and emission concentrations). As a guide to policy, it suggests to keep down extreme events in emissions to prevent possibilities of extreme warmings.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/127012
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Univ Bologna, Dept Econ, Bologna, Italy
2.Univ Peloponnese, Dept Econ, Tripolis, Greece
3.Univ Appl Sci BFI Vienna, Vienna, Austria

Recommended Citation:
Agliardi, Elettra,Alexopoulos, Thomas,Cech, Christian. On the Relationship Between GHGs and Global Temperature Anomalies: Multi-level Rolling Analysis and Copula Calibration[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL & RESOURCE ECONOMICS,2019-01-01,72(1):109-133
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